🏷️ Likely Rental
5656 Circle Park Dr Park #5594 · Rock Hall, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new 2025 Clayton Ruby Z located in the Circle Park mobile home community in Rock Hall. This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a spacious open floor plan with a full bedroom and bathroom on either end, offering privacy and flexibility. The home comes complete with brand-new appliances and is ready for its first owners. Public water and sewer. Financing available through Clayton Homes, subject to credit score and financing approval. Offered at $110,000. Buyer must be approved by the park. Ground rent is $550/month (buyer to verify). Contact us to schedule a tour.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Brand new appliances
- Built 2025
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($818/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 1.1% in Rock Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Kent County Public Schools (rural): math 10% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #20 of 24 in MD (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.78%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $230,386
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -54.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5656 Circle Park Dr Park #5692 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (0%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $113 | 93 |
| 5548 Boundary Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (-9%) | 0mo | $220,500 | $304 | 68 |
| 5810 Judefind Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 | 850 (+6%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $306 | 62 |
| 5722 Judefind Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+12%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $289 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-12,657
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,369
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21661
- Home prices YoY
- -4.1%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $68
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-04-01$110,000 Active 575-char remark
Show marketing remark (575 chars)
Brand new 2025 Clayton Ruby Z located in the Circle Park mobile home community in Rock Hall. This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a spacious open floor plan with a full bedroom and bathroom on either end, offering privacy and flexibility. The home comes complete with brand-new appliances and is ready for its first owners. Public water and sewer. Financing available through Clayton Homes, subject to credit score and financing approval. Offered at $110,000. Buyer must be approved by the park. Ground rent is $550/month (buyer to verify). Contact us to schedule a tour.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,058
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This brand-new 2025 Clayton Ruby Z mobile home is move-in ready with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious open floor plan, modern finishes, and is located in a well-maintained community.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Adding a small front porch — A front porch can increase the home's curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding a small front porch — A front porch can increase the home's curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400450
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,748
- Composite
- 17.37/100
- National rank
- #9072
- State rank
- #20 of 24 in MD
Livability — Rock Hall
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23109
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,400
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,915 people
- By 2030
- 18,192 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 16,601 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 15,089 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 12,441 · -34.2%
- By 2100
- 10,191 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Czech 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.4% · R 50.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.2 2016: R+4.6 2012: R+0.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.10%
- Current HPI
- 306.4262
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…