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5656 Circle Park Dr Park #5594 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

5656 Circle Park Dr Park #5594 · Rock Hall, MD 21661
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily · 78 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $131/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new 2025 Clayton Ruby Z located in the Circle Park mobile home community in Rock Hall. This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a spacious open floor plan with a full bedroom and bathroom on either end, offering privacy and flexibility. The home comes complete with brand-new appliances and is ready for its first owners. Public water and sewer. Financing available through Clayton Homes, subject to credit score and financing approval. Offered at $110,000. Buyer must be approved by the park. Ground rent is $550/month (buyer to verify). Contact us to schedule a tour.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Brand new appliances
  • Built 2025

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANBRAND NEW APPLIANCESPUBLIC WATER AND SEWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $105,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$230,386) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($818/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 1.1% in Rock Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kent County Public Schools (rural): math 10% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #20 of 24 in MD (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.78%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$230,386
List price
$105,000
Delta
-54.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5656 Circle Park Dr Park #5692 0.00mi 2/2.0 800 (0%) 8mo $90,000 $113 93
5548 Boundary Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 726 (-9%) 0mo $220,500 $304 68
5810 Judefind Ave 0.37mi 2/1.5 850 (+6%) 10mo $260,000 $306 62
5722 Judefind Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 900 (+12%) 10mo $260,000 $289 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-12,657
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-5,369
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21661

Home prices YoY
-4.1%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    listed $110,000 Active 575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (575 chars)

    Brand new 2025 Clayton Ruby Z located in the Circle Park mobile home community in Rock Hall. This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a spacious open floor plan with a full bedroom and bathroom on either end, offering privacy and flexibility. The home comes complete with brand-new appliances and is ready for its first owners. Public water and sewer. Financing available through Clayton Homes, subject to credit score and financing approval. Offered at $110,000. Buyer must be approved by the park. Ground rent is $550/month (buyer to verify). Contact us to schedule a tour.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,058
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$965
− Management
−$965
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$908
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$218
After-tax cash flow
$1,036/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new 2025 Clayton Ruby Z mobile home is move-in ready with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious open floor plan, modern finishes, and is located in a well-maintained community.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding a small front porch — A front porch can increase the home's curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding a small front porch — A front porch can increase the home's curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kent County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400450
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$53,748
Composite
17.37/100
National rank
#9072
State rank
#20 of 24 in MD

Livability — Rock Hall

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23109

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,400

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,915 people
By 2030
18,192 · -3.8%
By 2040
16,601 · -12.2%
By 2050
15,089 · -20.2%
By 2075
12,441 · -34.2%
By 2100
10,191 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Czech 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.4% · R 50.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.2 2016: R+4.6 2012: R+0.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.10%
Current HPI
306.4262
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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