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4970 Broad Run Rd
B+ Composite 77.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$69,900

4970 Broad Run Rd · New Haven, WV 25253
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1930 7.00 ac lot Est $137k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This secluded property awaits its new owner. Could also be used as a camp. Ample living space on the main floor with additional bedroom in the basement. Detached, oversized two-car garage is a dream for those that like to tinker. Home sits on 1 acre but includes a total of 7 acres. Includes two additional parcels listed in confidential remarks. House being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Ample living space
  • Secluded property
  • Total of 7 acres

Tags

SECLUDED PROPERTYAMPLE LIVING SPACEDETACHED OVERSIZED GARAGETOTAL OF 7 ACRESTWO ADDITIONAL PARCELS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($847 rent vs $70k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#111 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mason County Schools (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #44 of 55 in WV (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: New Haven Elementary School (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #218 of 377 statewide, top 59%, 460 students, 0% FRL); Wahama Junior/Senior High School (math 16% / reading 43%, grade F, #69 of 110 statewide, top 71%, 387 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mason County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.78%
Cash-on-cash
16.01%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,376
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6055 Broad Run Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (+1) 806 (-7%) 0mo $128,000 $159 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$20,831
Equity at exit
$31,430
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
3.90×
Total profit
$56,795
Equity at exit
$48,437

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25253

Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$847 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $147/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $601
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-02-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-11
    listed $69,900 Active
  3. 2019-11-01
    listed $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$147 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$412 · $34/mo
Expected delta
+$265/yr (+$22/mo · 179.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,165
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$147
− Insurance
−$1,147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$813
− Management
−$813
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$1,295
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$311
After-tax cash flow
$2,026/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mason County Schools
NCES district ID
5400780
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,623
Composite
22.07/100
National rank
#8191
State rank
#44 of 55 in WV

Livability — New Haven

Score
66/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11999

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mason · 14,594 people
Population (ZIP)
2,246
Household income
$61,439
Rent vs Own
10.5% rent · 89.5% own

Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,174 people
By 2030
25,482 · -2.6%
By 2040
23,934 · -8.6%
By 2050
22,432 · -14.3%
By 2075
19,241 · -26.5%
By 2100
15,427 · -41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 7% Lithuanian 1% Polish 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mason

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.0) · D 20.0% · R 78.0% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-45.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -58.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.0 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+20.3 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+22.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Pending KVBOR
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $69,900 KVBOR
  • 2019-11-01 Listed $57,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $147 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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