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4113 W 2nd St
B- Composite 68.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

4113 W 2nd St · Dayton, OH 45417
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 848 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1962 5,998 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MUTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED WITH HIGHEST AND BEST DUE ON MONDAY 6/15/26 @5PM. DEAL ALERT! This Residence Park cape cod is packed with potential and priced for action! Outside, its low maintenance brick exterior is trimmed out in vinyl replacement windows, glass block basement windows and dimensional roofing. Inside, the main level consists of a comfortable living room with stacked stone fireplace, kitchen w/ natural wood cabinets, cozy breakfast area and 2 bedrooms with quick access to the full bath. The 2nd floor is dedicated entirely to a massive 3rd bedroom. Mechanicals are conveniently stowed in the large basement allowing opportunity for future living space, storm safety or just bonus stor

Key facts

  • Massive 3rd bedroom
  • Large basement
  • 5,998 sq ft lot

Tags

LOW MAINTENANCE BRICK EXTERIORVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSSTACKED STONE FIREPLACENATURAL WOOD CABINETSMASSIVE 3RD BEDROOMLARGE BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available (storm sewer)
  • Home design: Cape Cod style
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 40 x 127; Lot about 0.116 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 7)
  • Bedrooms: Second-level room (23 x 13); Main-level bedroom (11 x 8); Main-level bedroom (9 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl windows; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 31.5% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $29,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.62%
Cap rate
31.48%
Cash-on-cash
89.95%
DSCR
5.00
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,560
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
361 Roxbury Rd 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+2%) 7mo $120,000 $139 82
712 N Gettysburg Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 896 (+6%) 8mo $104,900 $117 71
752 Cleverly Rd 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 788 (-7%) 2mo $115,000 $146 68
615 Circle Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 936 (+10%) 3mo $66,000 $71 62
214 Geneva Rd 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (+12%) 0mo $89,000 $93 59
4519 Alfred Dr 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+13%) 1mo $81,000 $84 56
759 Geneva Rd 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 735 (-13%) 4mo $100,000 $136 56
528 Crestmore Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 930 (+10%) 3mo $110,200 $118 54
731 Whitmore Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 925 (+9%) 8mo $65,000 $70 54
524 Crestmore Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 786 (-7%) 8mo $75,000 $95 50
400 Walton Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 960 (+13%) 8mo $67,500 $70 37
786 Goodlow Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-15%) 2mo $34,000 $47 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.9%
Equity multiple
5.34×
Total profit
$36,319
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
95.0%
Equity multiple
11.52×
Total profit
$88,096
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45417

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,081 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $686/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $287
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $645 -5% $636 +0% $628 +5% $619 +10% $611
Rent -10% $542 -5% $585 +0% $628 +5% $670 +10% $713
Rate -1.0pp $643 -0.5pp $635 base $628 +0.5pp $620 +1.0pp $612

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 3d 1 0.13mi
729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 626 $950 $1.52 44d 1 0.31mi
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 3d 1 0.61mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 44d 1 0.75mi
342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 3d 1 0.75mi
863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 0.83mi
137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 784 $900 $1.15 3d 1 0.83mi
500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 850 $910 $1.07 44d 1 0.95mi
4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 3d 1 0.97mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 24d 1 0.97mi
126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $1,000 $1.19 14d 1 1.00mi
70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 966 $1,300 $1.35 3d 1 1.03mi
4914 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 960 $1,125 $1.17 44d 1 1.10mi
920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 3d 1 1.14mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 44d 1 1.20mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 3d 1 1.22mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 1.22mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 3d 1 1.22mi
1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 3d 1 1.23mi
41 N Marion St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 652 $925 $1.42 3d 1 1.27mi
1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 957 $900 $0.94 3d 1 1.31mi
5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 925 $1,025 $1.11 44d 1 1.31mi
635 Anna St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 14d 1 1.31mi
1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 3d 1 1.32mi
725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1104 $895 $0.81 44d 1 1.38mi
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $29,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $29,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$686 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$686 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,972
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$686
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,038
− Management
−$1,038
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$7,516
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,804
After-tax cash flow
$5,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,186
Household income
$36,945
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
1822.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.43%
Current HPI
193.4175
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $29,900 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $686 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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