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1205 E 32nd St
D Composite 40.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0

$466,510

1205 E 32nd St · Wolfforth, TX 79382
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,660 sqft · Other · 74 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

Key facts

  • Brick exterior
  • Large front porch
  • Open-concept kitchen

Tags

BRICK EXTERIORGRAND ARCHWAYSLARGE FRONT PORCHLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENGRANITE OR QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $467k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-582 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $364k (22.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (41.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (41.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#43 in TX, #1,872 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 77% / reading 80%, grade A, #48 of 4,322 statewide, top 1%, 583 students, 29% FRL); Frenship Middle (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 833 students, 47% FRL); Frenship H S (math 44% / reading 65%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 3,247 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $50k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$80k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($439k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $272,339 (41.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.34%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
14.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$216,777
Equity at exit
$420,269
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.11×
Total profit
$666,979
Equity at exit
$906,326

Cash invested: $130,623 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79382

Active inventory
474
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,723 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,446
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,106/yr
Insurance
$194
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$-582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,459
Max offer price $363,786
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-317 -5% $-449 +0% $-582 +5% $-714 +10% $-846
Rent -10% $-797 -5% $-689 +0% $-582 +5% $-474 +10% $-366
Rate -1.0pp $-347 -0.5pp $-463 base $-582 +0.5pp $-702 +1.0pp $-825

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$116,628
Closing costs
$13,995
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2915 Tractor Ave Wolfforth, TX 4.0 3.0 2582 $2,995 $1.16 15d 1 0.11mi
1503 Good Prairie Ave Wolfforth, TX 4.0 2.5 2173 $2,450 $1.13 23d 1 0.98mi
215 14th St Wolfforth, TX 4.0 3.0 1850 $2,200 $1.19 15d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $466,510 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $466,510 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $466,510 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $466,510 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $466,510 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $466,510 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $466,510 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $466,510 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $466,510 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $466,510 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $466,510 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $466,510 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $466,510 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $466,510 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $466,510 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $466,510 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    status Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

  18. 2026-04-29
    historical 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

  19. 2026-04-16
    status Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

  20. 2026-04-16
    historical 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

  21. 2026-04-13
    price $466,510 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

  22. 2026-04-02
    listed $458,510 Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    A home that feels different the moment you walk in. The 2,660 sq ft Vanessa floor plan delivers a higher level of design, space, and comfort throughout. Luxury vinyl plank flooring in main areasOpen-concept kitchen, living, and dining areaGranite or quartz countertops throughoutSpacious kitchen island with bar seatingStainless steel appliances, including double oven and built-in microwave cabinetButler's pantry with counter spaceOversized utility room with sink, counter space, and storageFloor-to-ceiling brick fireplacePrivate primary suite with garden tub, walk-in shower, dual vanities, and oversized walk-in closet with utility room accessPrivate guest bedroom with en-suite bathroomCovered back patio

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,106 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,537 · $711/mo
Expected delta
+$7,431/yr (+$619/mo · 671.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,681
− Mortgage interest
−$26,132
− Property taxes
−$1,106
− Insurance
−$2,333
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,614
− Management
−$2,614
− Depreciation
−$13,571
Taxable loss
−$15,690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,766
After-tax cash flow
$-3,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frenship ISD
NCES district ID
4819830
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,376
Composite
43.59/100
National rank
#2976
State rank
#162 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wolfforth

Score
80/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolfforth, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
10,512
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,512
Household income
$84,457
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
135.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 166.08%
Current HPI
561.4491
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-29 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-16 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $466,510 Zillow
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $458,510 Zillow

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,106 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…