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8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #192
D+ Composite 47.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #192 · Plain City, OH 43064
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily · 148 Days on market
Built 1987 $19/sqft · 64% below area $681/mo HOA · 30% of rent ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home. New Paint, New Carpet, All New Bathroom. Washer/Dryer Included. Large Deck, Shed, and off-street parking for 2 vehicles.

Key facts

  • All new bathroom
  • Large deck
  • Shed

Tags

NEW PAINTNEW CARPETALL NEW BATHROOMLARGE DECKSHEDOFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $958 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 63.8% vs local median 3.2% in Plain City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#146 in OH, #2,254 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Jonathan Alder Local (rural): math 68% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #121 of 656 in OH (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 414 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 530 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (120 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Recommended offer $17,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.25%
Cap rate
63.78%
Cash-on-cash
205.32%
DSCR
10.14
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,297
List price
$20,000
Delta
-63.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9030 Amity Pike 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+7%) 1mo $340,000 $301 72
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd Unit 71-0 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,050 (0%) 22mo $84,900 $81 70
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd Unit 53-0 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,190 (+13%) 3mo $105,800 $89 69
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd Lot 55 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-12%) 2mo $37,000 $40 69
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #163 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (-7%) 10mo $39,000 $40 68
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #50 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+7%) 18mo $50,000 $45 66
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #137 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+7%) 19mo $22,500 $20 66
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #5 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,190 (+13%) 11mo $80,000 $67 65
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #127 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,050 (0%) 23mo $52,500 $50 65
8565 Smith-calhoun Rd #114 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+3%) 24mo $62,000 $57 64
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #171 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (-7%) 22mo $56,500 $58 61
8565 Smith Calhoun Rd Unit 78-R 0.16mi 3/2.0 990 (-6%) 22mo $79,900 $81 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.40×
Total profit
$58,238
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
24.42×
Total profit
$131,131
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43064

Active inventory
414
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$681
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$958

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$681 · $8,172/yr

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $20,000 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Contingent 141 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Contingent 140 DOM
  7. 2026-05-03
    historical Contingent 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Don't miss this 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home. New Paint, New Carpet, All New Bathroom. Washer/Dryer Included. Large Deck, Shed, and off-street parking for 2 vehicles.

  8. 2026-04-27
    price $20,000 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Don't miss this 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home. New Paint, New Carpet, All New Bathroom. Washer/Dryer Included. Large Deck, Shed, and off-street parking for 2 vehicles.

  9. 2026-04-10
    price $29,500 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Don't miss this 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home. New Paint, New Carpet, All New Bathroom. Washer/Dryer Included. Large Deck, Shed, and off-street parking for 2 vehicles.

  10. 2026-01-11
    listed $34,900 Active 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Don't miss this 3 bedroom 1 bath mobile home. New Paint, New Carpet, All New Bathroom. Washer/Dryer Included. Large Deck, Shed, and off-street parking for 2 vehicles.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,998
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− HOA
−$8,172
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$12,404
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,977
After-tax cash flow
$8,521/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonathan Alder Local
NCES district ID
3904826
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$67,345
Composite
61.84/100
National rank
#729
State rank
#121 of 656 in OH

Livability — Plain City

Score
79/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#2254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Union County · 57,133 people
City population
18,143
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,143
Household income
$139,591
Rent vs Own
13.1% rent · 86.9% own
Severe rent burden
103.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,050 people
By 2030
46,826 · +1.7%
By 2040
47,941 · +4.1%
By 2050
47,919 · +4.1%
By 2075
46,160 · +0.2%
By 2100
38,584 · -16.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 10% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Polish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.7) · D 27.6% · R 71.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -43.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.7 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.74%
Current HPI
235.171
Rent YoY
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $20,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $29,500 CBRMLS
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $34,900 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…