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76 Ballantyne Brae
D Composite 41.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,900

76 Ballantyne Brae · Utica, NY 13501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,940 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1930 6,210 sqft lot $155/sqft · 8% above area Est $278k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

Key facts

  • High end amenities
  • Modern amenities
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFHIGH END AMENITIESMODERN AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Cedar, frame, stucco, and wood siding exterior materials; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (46 x 135)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Gas oven; Gas range; Oven
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Zoned heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen/family room combo; Has basement (full and crawl space)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (9.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (23.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,292/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2251% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; list at $300k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $229,171 (23.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.25%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$277,981
List price
$299,900
Delta
7.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2219 Douglas Cres 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,888 (-3%) 3mo $360,000 $191 82
56 Ballantyne Brae 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,736 (-10%) 8mo $234,500 $135 70
140 Proctor Blvd 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (-7%) 3mo $287,000 $159 65
117 Proctor Blvd 0.36mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,012 (+4%) 10mo $360,000 $179 62
2 Cromwell Pl 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,890 (-3%) 12mo $186,500 $99 60
171 Proctor Blvd 0.22mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,106 (+9%) 12mo $210,000 $100 59
28 Prospect St 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,703 (-12%) 9mo $163,500 $96 58
806 Mildred Ave 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,974 (+2%) 10mo $210,000 $106 55
119 Pleasant St 0.73mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,913 (-1%) 2mo $192,500 $101 55
119 Eastwood Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 2,031 (+5%) 12mo $365,000 $180 50
804 Symonds Pl 0.53mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,661 (-14%) 4mo $180,000 $108 41
103 Dryden Ave 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,658 (-14%) 7mo $130,000 $78 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$153,269
Equity at exit
$270,174
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$459,184
Equity at exit
$582,640

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13501

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,244/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$-158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,491
Max offer price $272,067
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1804 Storrs Ave Utica, NY 3.0 1.5 1633 $3,000 $1.84 43d 1 0.49mi
225 Thieme Pl Utica, NY 3.0 2.0 1872 $2,150 $1.15 43d 1 1.27mi
1642 Taylor Ave #1644 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,650 $0.63 43d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $299,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $309,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $309,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $309,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $309,900 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $309,900 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 585-char remark
  18. 2026-05-04
    listed $309,900 Active 585-char remark
  19. 2023-03-28
    soldstatus $160,000
  20. 2023-03-24
    soldstatus $160,000 Closed Sale or Rented 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

  21. 2023-01-21
    historical 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

  22. 2023-01-06
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

  23. 2022-12-12
    price $164,900 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

  24. 2022-11-01
    price $179,900 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

  25. 2022-10-21
    listed $189,900 Active 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    Welcome your friends and family into this 1900 square feet Tudor style home in South Utica. Featuring large fireplaced living room, heated sunroom off living room can be an office, spacious formal dining room, kitchen has ample cupboard, desk area, breakfast bar, appliances 7-8 years old, and open to a lovely den. Three spacious bedroom, large closets, and 2 full baths.

  26. 2003-11-06
    soldstatus $58,000
  27. 1993-11-03
    soldstatus $83,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,244 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,156 · $346/mo
Expected delta
+$912/yr (+$76/mo · 28.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,501
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$3,244
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$7,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,720
After-tax cash flow
$-171/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,931
Household income
$52,548
Rent vs Own
49.2% rent · 50.8% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.28%
Current HPI
382.3726
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+259.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $299,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $309,900 CNYIS
  • 2023-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2023-03-24 Sold (MLS) $160,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-01-21 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2023-01-06 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2022-12-12 Price Changed $164,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-11-01 Price Changed $179,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-10-21 Listed $189,900 CNYIS
  • 2003-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 1993-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,244 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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