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6784 State Route 20 Triplex
B Composite 72.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$289,900

6784 State Route 20 · Madison, NY 13310
5 bd · 4.5 ba · 2,734 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1886 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!

Key facts

  • Fireplaces
  • Dishwashers
  • Unit apartment house

Tags

UNIT APARTMENT HOUSEDISHWASHERSLAUNDRY HOOKUPSFIREPLACESCERTIFICATE OF OCCUPANCYBARN BEHIND THE HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $310/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,012 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Madison Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #703 of 755 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $290k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $289,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.74%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$122,600
Equity at exit
$160,583
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
4.96×
Total profit
$321,274
Equity at exit
$274,134

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13310

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
19.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,707 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$358 /mo · $4,295/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$778
Net cashflow
$930

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,530
Max offer price $289,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,094 -5% $1,012 +0% $930 +5% $848 +10% $765
Rent -10% $637 -5% $783 +0% $930 +5% $1,076 +10% $1,222
Rate -1.0pp $1,076 -0.5pp $1,003 base $930 +0.5pp $854 +1.0pp $778

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,707

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    listed $289,900 Active
  3. 2024-02-13
    soldstatus $115,000
  4. 2024-02-12
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!

  5. 2024-01-04
    status Pending 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!

  6. 2023-11-03
    price $115,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!

  7. 2023-09-11
    price $125,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!

  8. 2023-05-04
    listed $135,000 Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,295 · $358/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,597 · $383/mo
Expected delta
+$302/yr (+$25/mo · 7.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,484
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$4,295
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,559
− Management
−$3,559
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable income
$6,950
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,668
After-tax cash flow
$9,487/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison Central School District
NCES district ID
3618080
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,441
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#11276
State rank
#703 of 755 in NY

Livability — Madison

Score
59/100
State rank
#1012
US rank
#19700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,295
Population (ZIP)
731

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,528 people
By 2030
66,599 · -4.2%
By 2040
59,814 · -14.0%
By 2050
52,842 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,167 · -43.7%
By 2100
28,442 · -59.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.79%
Current HPI
281.3166
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $289,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CNYIS
  • 2024-01-04 Pending CNYIS
  • 2023-11-03 Price Changed $115,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-09-11 Price Changed $125,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-05-04 Listed $135,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,295 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…