Triplex
6784 State Route 20 · Madison, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!
Key facts
- Fireplaces
- Dishwashers
- Unit apartment house
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $310/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,012 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Madison Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #703 of 755 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $290k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $122,600
- Equity at exit
- $160,583
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.96×
- Total profit
- $321,274
- Equity at exit
- $274,134
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13310
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 19.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,707 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,295/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$778
- Net cashflow
- $930
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,094 | -5% $1,012 | +0% $930 | +5% $848 | +10% $765 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $637 | -5% $783 | +0% $930 | +5% $1,076 | +10% $1,222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,076 | -0.5pp $1,003 | base $930 | +0.5pp $854 | +1.0pp $778 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 4 | $3,708 |
| #1 | 4 | 4 | $1,236 |
| #2 | 4 | 4 | $1,236 |
| #3 | 4 | 4 | $1,236 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,707 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-08$289,900 Active
-
2024-02-13soldstatus $115,000
-
2024-02-12soldstatus $115,000 Closed 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!
-
2024-01-04status Pending 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!
-
2023-11-03price $115,000 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!
-
2023-09-11price $125,000 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!
-
2023-05-04$135,000 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
Investors Dream! This histstoric building has so much to offer. 3 apartments. .. 1 just about done, 1 some work done and 1 gutted. All appliances are brand new and there. All tools and material needed to finish is here! Upgraded materials have been used. .. .cement board siding, pella windows and doors, marble floors etc. Just need to pout the work in! Great rental for Morrisville College and Colgate College professionals!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,295 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,597 · $383/mo
- Expected delta
- +$302/yr (+$25/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,484
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$4,295
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,559
- − Management
- −$3,559
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable income
- $6,950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,668
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,487/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618080
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,441
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #11276
- State rank
- #703 of 755 in NY
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1012
- US rank
- #19700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,295
- Population (ZIP)
- 731
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,528 people
- By 2030
- 66,599 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 59,814 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 52,842 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,167 · -43.7%
- By 2100
- 28,442 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.79%
- Current HPI
- 281.3166
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+114.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $289,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CNYIS
- 2024-01-04 Pending — CNYIS
- 2023-11-03 Price Changed $115,000 CNYIS
- 2023-09-11 Price Changed $125,000 CNYIS
- 2023-05-04 Listed $135,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,295 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…