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2621 Choice St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 55.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,000

2621 Choice St · Dallas, TX 75215
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 2006 4,530 sqft lot $166/sqft · 20% below area Est $249k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors Only. Charming 3 bed 2 bath home with 1,200 sq feet of comfortable living space offering a perfect blend of modern with cozy charm. Upon entry you are greeted by generous laminate floors through out and a spacious living room. No carpet! The kitchen is the perfect size making meal prep a breeze! The master bedroom provides cozy comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office or kids play room! Mere minutes away from Downtown Dallas! Don't miss this great opportunity! Property is tenant occupied until the end of January 2027.

Key facts

  • 4,530 sq ft lot
  • Built 2006
  • Listed 70 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $199,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$249,073) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-43/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,811/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1464% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,116 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.08%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,073
List price
$199,000
Delta
-20.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2807 Silkwood St 0.35mi 3/3.0 1,200 (0%) 1mo $248,000 $207 81
2714 Silkwood St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,311 (+9%) 4mo $230,000 $175 64
6110 Carlton Garret St 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,350 (+12%) 5mo $285,000 $211 61
2705 Silkwood St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,279 (+7%) 14mo $220,000 $172 60
2927 Valentine St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,290 (+8%) 11mo $285,000 $221 55
2526 Bethurum Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,292 (+8%) 4mo $250,000 $193 53
2335 Bethurum Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,269 (+6%) 19mo $205,000 $162 46
5215 Colonial Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,131 (-6%) 12mo $155,000 $137 43
3034 Dorris St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (+13%) 16mo $109,000 $80 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.79% appreciation · 7.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$9,470
Equity at exit
$65,761
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$78,689
Equity at exit
$85,733

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75215

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,811 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$308 /mo · $3,695/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,816
Max offer price $198,365
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2727 Choice St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,799 $1.53 24d 1 0.11mi
2807 Valentine St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 15d 1 0.44mi
2216 Dyson St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1056 $2,100 $1.99 24d 1 0.47mi
2927 Dorris St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,914 $1.47 43d 1 0.54mi
2203 Anderson St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1219 $2,200 $1.80 43d 1 0.64mi
2207 Anderson St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1419 $2,300 $1.62 7d 1 0.65mi
2642 Anderson St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 820 $1,150 $1.40 24d 1 0.82mi
5000 Linder Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1327 $1,950 $1.47 43d 1 1.13mi
2838 Frost Ave Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 1.21mi
2561 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,390 $1.59 6d 1 1.24mi
2563 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,240 $1.42 15d 1 1.24mi
2603 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,385 $1.58 43d 1 1.25mi
2513 Southland St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1010 $1,399 $1.39 20d 1 1.25mi
2513 Southland St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1010 $1,299 $1.29 3d 1 1.25mi
2615 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,280 $1.46 15d 1 1.25mi
2829 Oakdale St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,840 $1.79 7d 1 1.26mi
2627 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,280 $1.46 43d 1 1.26mi
2840 Oakdale St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1379 $1,900 $1.38 43d 1 1.27mi
4744 Stokes St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,700 $1.18 10d 1 1.36mi
1628 Poplar St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 903 $1,400 $1.55 43d 1 1.41mi
1630 Poplar St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 903 $1,400 $1.55 24d 1 1.42mi
4804 Fellows Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1124 $1,850 $1.65 7d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 69 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 68 DOM
  4. 2026-04-22
    price $199,000 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Investors Only. Charming 3 bed 2 bath home with 1,200 sq feet of comfortable living space offering a perfect blend of modern with cozy charm. Upon entry you are greeted by generous laminate floors through out and a spacious living room. No carpet! The kitchen is the perfect size making meal prep a breeze! The master bedroom provides cozy comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office or kids play room! Mere minutes away from Downtown Dallas! Don't miss this great opportunity! Property is tenant occupied until the end of January 2027.

  5. 2026-03-24
    listed $210,000 Active 571-char remark
    Show marketing remark (571 chars)

    Investors Only. Charming 3 bed 2 bath home with 1,200 sq feet of comfortable living space offering a perfect blend of modern with cozy charm. Upon entry you are greeted by generous laminate floors through out and a spacious living room. No carpet! The kitchen is the perfect size making meal prep a breeze! The master bedroom provides cozy comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office or kids play room! Mere minutes away from Downtown Dallas! Don't miss this great opportunity! Property is tenant occupied until the end of January 2027.

  6. 2025-01-25
    historical $1,500
  7. 2024-11-28
    listed $1,500
  8. 2024-11-28
    historical $1,550
  9. 2024-11-22
    historical
  10. 2024-11-07
    listed $1,550
  11. 2024-07-25
    price $225,000
  12. 2024-07-01
    price $235,000
  13. 2024-06-22
    listed $245,000 Active
  14. 2017-09-05
    soldstatus
  15. 2017-08-28
    soldstatus Sold
  16. 2017-07-29
    status Pending
  17. 2017-07-25
    historical Active Option Contract
  18. 2017-07-19
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,695 · $308/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,695 · $308/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,734
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$3,695
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,739
− Management
−$1,739
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$3,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$809
After-tax cash flow
$766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,895
Household income
$45,557
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
1464.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 26%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.79%
Current HPI
224.2955
Rent YoY
▲ 7.19%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+121.1% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-25 Rental Removed $1,500 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-28 Listed for Rent $1,500 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-11-22 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-25 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-01 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-22 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-09-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2017-07-29 Pending NTREIS
  • 2017-07-25 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2017-07-19 Listed $90,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,695 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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