🏷️ Likely Rental
2621 Choice St · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Only. Charming 3 bed 2 bath home with 1,200 sq feet of comfortable living space offering a perfect blend of modern with cozy charm. Upon entry you are greeted by generous laminate floors through out and a spacious living room. No carpet! The kitchen is the perfect size making meal prep a breeze! The master bedroom provides cozy comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office or kids play room! Mere minutes away from Downtown Dallas! Don't miss this great opportunity! Property is tenant occupied until the end of January 2027.
Key facts
- 4,530 sq ft lot
- Built 2006
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-43/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,811/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1464% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $249,073
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -20.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Silkwood St | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $207 | 81 |
| 2714 Silkwood St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (+9%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $175 | 64 |
| 6110 Carlton Garret St | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,350 (+12%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $211 | 61 |
| 2705 Silkwood St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,279 (+7%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 2927 Valentine St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (+8%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $221 | 55 |
| 2526 Bethurum Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+8%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $193 | 53 |
| 2335 Bethurum Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+6%) | 19mo | $205,000 | $162 | 46 |
| 5215 Colonial Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (-6%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $137 | 43 |
| 3034 Dorris St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+13%) | 16mo | $109,000 | $80 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.79% appreciation · 7.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,470
- Equity at exit
- $65,761
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $78,689
- Equity at exit
- $85,733
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75215
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,811 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$308 /mo · $3,695/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2727 Choice St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,799 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2807 Valentine St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2216 Dyson St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,100 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2927 Dorris St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,914 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2203 Anderson St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2207 Anderson St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $2,300 | $1.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2642 Anderson St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,150 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5000 Linder Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,950 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2838 Frost Ave Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2561 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,390 | $1.59 | 6d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2563 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,240 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2603 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,385 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2513 Southland St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,399 | $1.39 | 20d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2513 Southland St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,299 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2615 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,280 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2829 Oakdale St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,840 | $1.79 | 7d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2627 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,280 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2840 Oakdale St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4744 Stokes St Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1628 Poplar St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1630 Poplar St Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4804 Fellows Ln Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,850 | $1.65 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active Option Contract 68 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $199,000 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Investors Only. Charming 3 bed 2 bath home with 1,200 sq feet of comfortable living space offering a perfect blend of modern with cozy charm. Upon entry you are greeted by generous laminate floors through out and a spacious living room. No carpet! The kitchen is the perfect size making meal prep a breeze! The master bedroom provides cozy comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office or kids play room! Mere minutes away from Downtown Dallas! Don't miss this great opportunity! Property is tenant occupied until the end of January 2027.
-
2026-03-24$210,000 Active 571-char remark
Show marketing remark (571 chars)
Investors Only. Charming 3 bed 2 bath home with 1,200 sq feet of comfortable living space offering a perfect blend of modern with cozy charm. Upon entry you are greeted by generous laminate floors through out and a spacious living room. No carpet! The kitchen is the perfect size making meal prep a breeze! The master bedroom provides cozy comfort. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for a home office or kids play room! Mere minutes away from Downtown Dallas! Don't miss this great opportunity! Property is tenant occupied until the end of January 2027.
-
2025-01-25historical $1,500
-
2024-11-28$1,500
-
2024-11-28historical $1,550
-
2024-11-22historical
-
2024-11-07$1,550
-
2024-07-25price $225,000
-
2024-07-01price $235,000
-
2024-06-22$245,000 Active
-
2017-09-05soldstatus
-
2017-08-28soldstatus Sold
-
2017-07-29status Pending
-
2017-07-25historical Active Option Contract
-
2017-07-19$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,695 · $308/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,695 · $308/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$3,695
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,739
- − Management
- −$1,739
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$3,370
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$809
- After-tax cash flow
- $766/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,895
- Household income
- $45,557
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1464.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 26%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Current HPI
- 224.2955
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.19%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+121.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $210,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-25 Rental Removed $1,500 NTREIS
- 2024-11-28 Listed for Rent $1,500 NTREIS
- 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $1,550 APPFOLIO
- 2024-11-22 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-25 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2024-07-01 Price Changed $235,000 NTREIS
- 2024-06-22 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
- 2017-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2017-07-29 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-07-25 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2017-07-19 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,695 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…