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🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

502 Fayetteville Ave · Statesville, NC 28677
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 945 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1948 6,969 sqft lot Est $190k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special – Full Rehab Needed! This property will need to be gutted and completely renovated, making it ideal for experienced investors or flippers. Great opportunity to maximize resale value after repairs. Home is currently tenant occupied 48 hr. notice for showings. Seller has another property available for purchase at 1134 Wilson W Lee Statesville.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1948
  • Listed 61 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no main-level garage)
  • Utilities: County water; County sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; Site-built construction; One story; Crawl space foundation; R5MFM zoning
  • Construction: Asbestos construction materials
  • Exterior features: Road surfaces include gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Appliances not included
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $110,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$189,945) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.5% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 471 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $110k implies a 1733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.81%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,945
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
504 Fayetteville Ave 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (+11%) 3mo $225,000 $214 69
1605 5th St 0.04mi 2/1.0 822 (-13%) 12mo $169,000 $206 66
1904 5th St 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 918 (-3%) 15mo $152,000 $166 65
1701 5th St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,082 (+14%) 5mo $218,000 $201 59
1324 7th St Unit 17, 18 0.30mi 2/1.0 894 (-5%) 22mo $95,000 $106 59
1521 10th St 0.35mi 2/1.0 872 (-8%) 20mo $99,000 $114 54
1223 4th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 990 (+5%) 20mo $203,000 $205 51
1025 Old Charlotte Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,075 (+14%) 10mo $230,000 $214 37
812 Charlotte Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 867 (-8%) 20mo $175,000 $202 36
908 Mccollough St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,047 (+11%) 10mo $190,000 $181 34
1114 8th St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+12%) 20mo $160,000 $152 31
1110 8th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,062 (+12%) 20mo $155,000 $146 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-3,465
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,874
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28677

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
471
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $526/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $844
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
708 W Front St Statesville, NC 2.0 1.0 950 $985 $1.04 2d 1 1.23mi
626 Walnut St Unit D Statesville, NC 2.0 1.5 1090 $1,100 $1.01 23d 1 1.30mi
627 Cherry St Unit F Statesville, NC 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-24
    listed $110,000 Active
  2. 2021-07-19
    listed $79,900 Active
  3. 2008-03-26
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$526 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$902 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 71.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,339
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$526
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,607
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$386
After-tax cash flow
$2,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iredell-Statesville Schools
NCES district ID
3702310
Math proficiency
53% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$51,201
Composite
44.98/100
National rank
#2703
State rank
#51 of 178 in NC

Livability — Statesville

Score
59/100
State rank
#557
US rank
#20505

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Statesville, NC
County
Iredell County · 182,638 people
City population
78,393
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
38,819
Household income
$62,406
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
1174.0

Population outlook (Iredell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,510 people
By 2030
206,171 · +6.0%
By 2040
227,781 · +17.1%
By 2050
245,102 · +26.0%
By 2075
280,896 · +44.4%
By 2100
294,375 · +51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Scandinavian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iredell

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.6) · D 33.2% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -32.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.6 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+30.5 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.76%
Current HPI
243.0445
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1733.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $110,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-19 Listed $79,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $526 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…