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1336 Carbaugh Ave Duplex
B- Composite 66.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1336 Carbaugh Ave · Rockford, IL 61101
4 bd · 2.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1967 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Updated duplex offering a great investment opportunity! Each unit features just under 800 square feet of living space with a living room, eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry/utility room. Separate gas and electric meters provide added convenience for tenants and owners alike. Property is serviced by city sewer and private well. Recent updates include new exterior doors, new LVP flooring in both living rooms and the back unit bedrooms, and new carpet in the front unit bedrooms. Major mechanical updates include a new roof in 2024, new vinyl windows in 2025, and water heaters replaced in 2021 and 2025. Agent owned.

Key facts

  • New exterior doors
  • New carpet
  • Private well

Tags

DEDICATED LAUNDRY UTILITY ROOMCITY SEWERPRIVATE WELLNEW EXTERIOR DOORSNEW LVP FLOORINGNEW CARPET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not rebuilt or rehabilitated; Contains 2 separate units (each ~792 ft², each on first floor)
  • Financial info: Special service area: No

Exterior

  • Parking: Owned parking for 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two- to four-unit property (2 units total); Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978; estimated age 51–60 years
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 247.3; Quarter-acre-ish lot (.25–.49 acre); Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a stove
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (2 in each unit)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $607/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kennedy Middle School (math 3% / reading 2%, grade F, #660 of 665 statewide, top 100%, 380 students, 0% FRL); Auburn High School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,936 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,648/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1170% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
17.09%
Cash-on-cash
38.57%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$55,513
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
4.92×
Total profit
$148,005
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,648 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,353/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$1,215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,110
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 49%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,648

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 N Horace Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 13d 1 0.46mi
2511 Ashland Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 2.0 2504 $2,900 $1.16 21d 1 0.63mi
3016 School St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 43d 1 0.72mi
2916 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1578 $2,400 $1.52 43d 1 0.73mi
2222 Andrews St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 13d 1 0.99mi
2011 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 43d 1 1.02mi
326 N Independence Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 $1,550 13d 1 1.19mi
1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,200 $0.86 43d 1 1.28mi
2315 Green St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 43d 1 1.30mi
207 N Central Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,500 $1.16 13d 1 1.35mi
418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 13d 1 1.38mi
2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,199 $1.26 13d 1 1.42mi
210 Irving Ave Rockford, IL 5.0 1.0 1202 $1,850 $1.54 43d 1 1.43mi
1146 Fairview Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 1.5 1344 $1,250 $0.93 21d 1 1.47mi
3133 Liberty Dr Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 $1,675 21d 1 1.48mi
3834 Preston St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 13d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Updated duplex offering a great investment opportunity! Each unit features just under 800 square feet of living space with a living room, eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry/utility room. Separate gas and electric meters provide added convenience for tenants and owners alike. Property is serviced by city sewer and private well. Recent updates include new exterior doors, new LVP flooring in both living rooms and the back unit bedrooms, and new carpet in the front unit bedrooms. Major mechanical updates include a new roof in 2024, new vinyl windows in 2025, and water heaters replaced in 2021 and 2025. Agent owned.

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Updated duplex offering a great investment opportunity! Each unit features just under 800 square feet of living space with a living room, eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry/utility room. Separate gas and electric meters provide added convenience for tenants and owners alike. Property is serviced by city sewer and private well. Recent updates include new exterior doors, new LVP flooring in both living rooms and the back unit bedrooms, and new carpet in the front unit bedrooms. Major mechanical updates include a new roof in 2024, new vinyl windows in 2025, and water heaters replaced in 2021 and 2025. Agent owned.

  3. 2026-05-11
    listed $135,000 Active 652-char remark
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Updated duplex offering a great investment opportunity! Each unit features just under 800 square feet of living space with a living room, eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry/utility room. Separate gas and electric meters provide added convenience for tenants and owners alike. Property is serviced by city sewer and private well. Recent updates include new exterior doors, new LVP flooring in both living rooms and the back unit bedrooms, and new carpet in the front unit bedrooms. Major mechanical updates include a new roof in 2024, new vinyl windows in 2025, and water heaters replaced in 2021 and 2025. Agent owned.

  4. 2026-05-11
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (652 chars)

    Updated duplex offering a great investment opportunity! Each unit features just under 800 square feet of living space with a living room, eat-in kitchen, two bedrooms, full bathroom, and a dedicated laundry/utility room. Separate gas and electric meters provide added convenience for tenants and owners alike. Property is serviced by city sewer and private well. Recent updates include new exterior doors, new LVP flooring in both living rooms and the back unit bedrooms, and new carpet in the front unit bedrooms. Major mechanical updates include a new roof in 2024, new vinyl windows in 2025, and water heaters replaced in 2021 and 2025. Agent owned.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,353 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,209 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$856/yr (+$71/mo · 63.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,776
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,353
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,542
− Management
−$2,542
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$13,175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,162
After-tax cash flow
$11,418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $135,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,353 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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