Duplex
921 Jefferson Ave · Mamaroneck, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,025,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
HIGHEST + BEST offers due May 2 at 12PM. Thank you! Rare turn-key two-family opportunity in the highly sought-after Rye Neck School District with major mechanical updates. This beautifully maintained property offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of living space and features two spacious units, each with 6+ rooms including 3 bedrooms, large living room, formal dining room, and eat-in kitchen. Interiors highlight refinished hardwood floors, updated kitchens with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, renovated bathrooms, and central air conditioning. Major mechanical upgrades include two new high-efficiency 96% heating and central AC systems installed in 2024, two separate hot water heaters, and a new roof (2020). Each unit has separate utilities, offering true independence and making the property ideal for investors or owner-occupants. Additional features include separate washer/dryer setups, driveway parking plus a one-car garage for each unit, attic and basement storage, and a shared patio and backyard. Located on a cul-de-sac just six blocks from Metro-North, with an easy commute to NYC, and a short walk to Mamaroneck Harbor, parks, shops, restaurants, and schools. Perfect for owner-occupants looking to offset living expenses or investors seeking strong rental potential in a prime Westchester location. Roadwork in progress on Jefferson; entire road to be repaved.
Key facts
- 7,454 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1966
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.02M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-491 ($-6k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-246/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $938k (8.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $881k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $881k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Rye Neck Union Free School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #40 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,807/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $31k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.05%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,702,252
- List price
- $1,025,000
- Delta
- -39.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Franklin Ave | 0.47mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,337 (-5%) | 9mo | $1,100,000 | $471 | 58 |
| 115 Calvert St | 0.75mi | 6/2.0 | 2,612 (+6%) | 6mo | $1,275,000 | $488 | 50 |
| 423 Union Ave | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,168 (-12%) | 12mo | $950,000 | $438 | 43 |
| 9 Walnut Ln | 0.69mi | 6/2.0 | 2,216 (-10%) | 14mo | $1,075,000 | $485 | 40 |
| 308 Travers Ave | 0.43mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,093 (-15%) | 12mo | $1,105,000 | $528 | 36 |
| 7 Harris Ln | 0.71mi | 6/5.0 | 2,757 (+12%) | 17mo | $1,185,000 | $430 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-163,012
- Equity at exit
- $152,831
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-30,182
- Equity at exit
- $88,623
Cash invested: $287,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10543
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 19.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,375
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,646 /mo · $19,756/yr
- Insurance
- −$427
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,849
- Net cashflow
- $-491
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $89 | -5% $-201 | +0% $-491 | +5% $-781 | +10% $-1,071 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,187 | -5% $-839 | +0% $-491 | +5% $-143 | +10% $205 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $25 | -0.5pp $-230 | base $-491 | +0.5pp $-757 | +1.0pp $-1,027 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $8,806 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $4,403 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $4,403 |
| Total (2 units) | $8,807 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $256,250
- Closing costs
- $30,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625 Lorraine St Mamaroneck, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $6,300 | $3.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.09mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1393-char remark
Show marketing remark (1393 chars)
HIGHEST + BEST offers due May 2 at 12PM. Thank you! Rare turn-key two-family opportunity in the highly sought-after Rye Neck School District with major mechanical updates. This beautifully maintained property offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of living space and features two spacious units, each with 6+ rooms including 3 bedrooms, large living room, formal dining room, and eat-in kitchen. Interiors highlight refinished hardwood floors, updated kitchens with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, renovated bathrooms, and central air conditioning. Major mechanical upgrades include two new high-efficiency 96% heating and central AC systems installed in 2024, two separate hot water heaters, and a new roof (2020). Each unit has separate utilities, offering true independence and making the property ideal for investors or owner-occupants. Additional features include separate washer/dryer setups, driveway parking plus a one-car garage for each unit, attic and basement storage, and a shared patio and backyard. Located on a cul-de-sac just six blocks from Metro-North, with an easy commute to NYC, and a short walk to Mamaroneck Harbor, parks, shops, restaurants, and schools. Perfect for owner-occupants looking to offset living expenses or investors seeking strong rental potential in a prime Westchester location. Roadwork in progress on Jefferson; entire road to be repaved.
-
2026-04-27$1,025,000 Active 1393-char remark
Show marketing remark (1393 chars)
HIGHEST + BEST offers due May 2 at 12PM. Thank you! Rare turn-key two-family opportunity in the highly sought-after Rye Neck School District with major mechanical updates. This beautifully maintained property offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of living space and features two spacious units, each with 6+ rooms including 3 bedrooms, large living room, formal dining room, and eat-in kitchen. Interiors highlight refinished hardwood floors, updated kitchens with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, renovated bathrooms, and central air conditioning. Major mechanical upgrades include two new high-efficiency 96% heating and central AC systems installed in 2024, two separate hot water heaters, and a new roof (2020). Each unit has separate utilities, offering true independence and making the property ideal for investors or owner-occupants. Additional features include separate washer/dryer setups, driveway parking plus a one-car garage for each unit, attic and basement storage, and a shared patio and backyard. Located on a cul-de-sac just six blocks from Metro-North, with an easy commute to NYC, and a short walk to Mamaroneck Harbor, parks, shops, restaurants, and schools. Perfect for owner-occupants looking to offset living expenses or investors seeking strong rental potential in a prime Westchester location. Roadwork in progress on Jefferson; entire road to be repaved.
-
2026-04-20historical $1,025,000 1393-char remark
Show marketing remark (1393 chars)
HIGHEST + BEST offers due May 2 at 12PM. Thank you! Rare turn-key two-family opportunity in the highly sought-after Rye Neck School District with major mechanical updates. This beautifully maintained property offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of living space and features two spacious units, each with 6+ rooms including 3 bedrooms, large living room, formal dining room, and eat-in kitchen. Interiors highlight refinished hardwood floors, updated kitchens with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, renovated bathrooms, and central air conditioning. Major mechanical upgrades include two new high-efficiency 96% heating and central AC systems installed in 2024, two separate hot water heaters, and a new roof (2020). Each unit has separate utilities, offering true independence and making the property ideal for investors or owner-occupants. Additional features include separate washer/dryer setups, driveway parking plus a one-car garage for each unit, attic and basement storage, and a shared patio and backyard. Located on a cul-de-sac just six blocks from Metro-North, with an easy commute to NYC, and a short walk to Mamaroneck Harbor, parks, shops, restaurants, and schools. Perfect for owner-occupants looking to offset living expenses or investors seeking strong rental potential in a prime Westchester location. Roadwork in progress on Jefferson; entire road to be repaved.
-
2026-03-25$998,000 Active
-
2026-03-18historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $19,756 · $1,646/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $19,756 · $1,646/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $105,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$57,416
- − Property taxes
- −$19,756
- − Insurance
- −$5,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,455
- − Management
- −$8,455
- − Depreciation
- −$29,818
- Taxable loss
- −$23,341
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,602
- After-tax cash flow
- $-291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rye Neck Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625290
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,235
- Composite
- 73.17/100
- National rank
- #188
- State rank
- #40 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mamaroneck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #8656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mamaroneck, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 20,989
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,989
- Household income
- $126,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.53%
- Current HPI
- 268.4687
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+2.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $1,025,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $1,025,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Listed $998,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $19,756 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…