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5301 West Ln
D Composite 42.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

5301 West Ln · McCullom Lake, IL 60050
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1937 5,568 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated ranch home in the heart of McCullom Lake offering affordable living with modern updates throughout. This move-in-ready 1-bedroom, 1-bath home features a remodeled kitchen completed in 2026 with stainless steel appliances, updated bathroom remodel in 2026, and brand-new flooring installed in 2026. Major exterior improvement includes a newer roof completed in 2023. The home also offers a full basement with washer and dryer, mechanicals, abundant storage space, and a convenient walk-out entrance. Situated on a spacious lot in a quiet lake community near McHenry shopping, restaurants, parks, and commuter routes. Ideal opportunity for owner-occupants, downsizers, or investors

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Full basement

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOM REMODELNEWER ROOFFULL BASEMENTSPACIOUS LOTQUIET LAKE COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 owned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Rehab scheduled/completed in 2026; Built 81–90 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Unfinished basement (440 sq ft total finished/unfin area reported)
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions about 48 x 116; Lot approximately 0.25–0.49 acre; Aluminum siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 16 x 9)
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (master on main); Additional bedroom spaces noted
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms; Unfinished full basement; Disability access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (approx. 15 x 15)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($399/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#369 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Mchenry Chsd 156 (suburban): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #244 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Valley View Elem School (math 21% / reading 31%, grade F, #824 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 539 students, 0% FRL); Parkland School (math 17% / reading 18%, grade F, #450 of 665 statewide, top 69%, 680 students, 0% FRL); Mchenry Community High School (2,222 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $145k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,370 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
0.98%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-21,320
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-15,607
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60050

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,342
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $115 -5% $74 +0% $33 +5% $-8 +10% $-49
Rent -10% $-76 -5% $-21 +0% $33 +5% $88 +10% $143
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $70 base $33 +0.5pp $-4 +1.0pp $-43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $145,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  18. 2002-01-10
    soldstatus $56,500
  19. 1993-02-01
    soldstatus $50,500
  20. 1989-12-11
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,868 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,080 · $257/mo
Expected delta
+$212/yr (+$18/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,604
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,868
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,328
− Management
−$1,328
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$477
After-tax cash flow
$876/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mchenry Chsd 156
NCES district ID
1725320
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$66,681
Composite
26.55/100
National rank
#7188
State rank
#244 of 620 in IL

Livability — McCullom Lake

Score
70/100
State rank
#369
US rank
#7652

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McCullom Lake, IL
County
McHenry County · 204,279 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
31,781
Household income
$88,812
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
570.0

Population outlook (McHenry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
305,342 people
By 2030
301,491 · -1.3%
By 2040
288,211 · -5.6%
By 2050
268,430 · -12.1%
By 2075
226,209 · -25.9%
By 2100
181,247 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McHenry

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.3) · D 46.6% · R 51.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -5.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.3 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+8.1 2012: R+8.8 2008: D+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.11%
Current HPI
207.8921
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
  • 1993-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
  • 1989-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,868 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…