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14210 Reissen Ln
D Composite 40.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$385,000

14210 Reissen Ln · Houston, TX 77069
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1997 8,089 sqft lot $123/sqft · 16% below area Est $458k · 16% under $79/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great home with great floor plan and wonderful location! Open concept kitchen/dining & family room. Living room, dining room, 1/2 bath and pantry all complete the first floor. This home has a ton of storage with 5 large walk-in closets and a oversized garage. Four bedrooms, 3 full baths and 2 1/2 baths are spread out throughout the home. Primary bedroom has 2 walk-in closets. Large utility room on the second floor with washer and dryer. The 3rd floor is a great addition for an office, workout room or playroom. Roof was replaced in 2021 and HVAC for the 1st floor. French drain system and gutters in the rear of the home and irrigation system.

Key facts

  • Third floor addition
  • French drain system
  • Oversized garage

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN DININGLARGE WALK IN CLOSETSOVERSIZED GARAGELARGE UTILITY ROOMTHIRD FLOOR ADDITIONFRENCH DRAIN SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $385k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-910 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (41.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (41.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,170 (41.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
3.46%
Cash-on-cash
-10.13%
DSCR
0.55
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$458,264
List price
$385,000
Delta
-15.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6790 Rial Ct 0.23mi 4/3.5 3,180 (+1%) 1mo $490,000 $154 85
14106 Haynes Dr 0.16mi 4/3.5 3,282 (+4%) 1mo $399,900 $122 82
14210 Vanessa Cir 0.08mi 4/3.5 3,355 (+7%) 2mo $465,000 $139 82
6782 Cutten Pkwy 0.29mi 4/3.5 3,285 (+5%) 3mo $405,000 $123 74
6906 Cherry Hills Rd 0.19mi 5/3.5 (+1) 3,480 (+11%) 4mo $410,000 $118 62
6203 Bermuda Dunes Dr 0.63mi 4/2.5 3,164 (+1%) 2mo $445,000 $141 62
6622 Preston Trail Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,930 (-7%) 2mo $252,000 $86 61
7002 Briton Centre Ct 0.71mi 4/3.0 3,319 (+6%) 1mo $630,000 $190 52
6719 Ashmore Dr 0.71mi 4/2.5 3,012 (-4%) 4mo $350,000 $116 51
5906 Echo Lake Ln 0.73mi 5/3.5 (+1) 3,340 (+6%) 4mo $455,000 $136 45
6723 Ashmore Dr 0.72mi 4/3.5 3,574 (+14%) 2mo $415,500 $116 40
6523 Cypress Point Dr 0.66mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,721 (-13%) 4mo $314,900 $116 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.09% appreciation · 3.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-86,818
Equity at exit
$91,196
10-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-113,178
Equity at exit
$94,289

Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77069

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,712 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,019
Tax from tax record
$794 /mo · $9,530/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$79
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$569
Net cashflow
$-910

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,864
Max offer price $224,170
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,250
Closing costs
$11,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5415 Olympia Fields Ln Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 4163 $3,500 $0.84 3d 1 1.37mi
5135 Westerham Pl Unit 1262307P Houston, TX 5.0 3.5 3358 $17,582 $5.24 22d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$79 · $948/yr

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $385,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $385,000 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $385,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $385,000 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $385,000 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $385,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $385,000 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $385,000 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $385,000 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $385,000 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $385,000 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $385,000 Active 123 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $385,000 Active 122 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $385,000 Active 121 DOM
  15. 2026-01-30
    listed $385,000 Active 654-char remark
    Show marketing remark (654 chars)

    Great home with great floor plan and wonderful location! Open concept kitchen/dining & family room. Living room, dining room, 1/2 bath and pantry all complete the first floor. This home has a ton of storage with 5 large walk-in closets and a oversized garage. Four bedrooms, 3 full baths and 2 1/2 baths are spread out throughout the home. Primary bedroom has 2 walk-in closets. Large utility room on the second floor with washer and dryer. The 3rd floor is a great addition for an office, workout room or playroom. Roof was replaced in 2021 and HVAC for the 1st floor. French drain system and gutters in the rear of the home and irrigation system.

  16. 2026-01-30
    historical
    Show marketing remark (654 chars)

    Great home with great floor plan and wonderful location! Open concept kitchen/dining & family room. Living room, dining room, 1/2 bath and pantry all complete the first floor. This home has a ton of storage with 5 large walk-in closets and a oversized garage. Four bedrooms, 3 full baths and 2 1/2 baths are spread out throughout the home. Primary bedroom has 2 walk-in closets. Large utility room on the second floor with washer and dryer. The 3rd floor is a great addition for an office, workout room or playroom. Roof was replaced in 2021 and HVAC for the 1st floor. French drain system and gutters in the rear of the home and irrigation system.

  17. 2026-01-06
    price $390,000
  18. 2025-12-20
    listed $417,000 Active
  19. 2025-12-20
    historical
  20. 2025-12-20
    listed $430,000 Active
  21. 2022-02-01
    soldstatus
  22. 2022-01-31
    soldstatus Sold
  23. 2022-01-19
    status Pending
  24. 2022-01-11
    status Option Pending
  25. 2022-01-11
    status Pending
  26. 2022-01-06
    listed $427,000 Active
  27. 2013-02-14
    soldstatus
  28. 2013-02-14
    soldstatus
  29. 2013-02-12
    soldstatus Sold
  30. 2013-01-16
    status Pending
  31. 2013-01-10
    listed $264,900 Active
  32. 2013-01-02
    historical
  33. 2012-12-14
    price $264,900
  34. 2012-09-21
    listed $272,500 Active
  35. 2009-08-31
    soldstatus
  36. 2009-08-27
    soldstatus
  37. 2009-07-27
    historical
  38. 2009-07-22
    listed $264,900
  39. 2001-07-06
    historical
  40. 2001-04-02
    listed $274,900
  41. 2000-09-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$9,530 · $794/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,530 · $794/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,538
− Mortgage interest
−$21,566
− Property taxes
−$9,530
− Insurance
−$1,925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,603
− Management
−$2,603
− HOA
−$948
− Depreciation
−$11,200
Taxable loss
−$17,836
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,281
After-tax cash flow
$-6,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
NCES district ID
4816110
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$72,025
Composite
43.63/100
National rank
#2968
State rank
#161 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
20,608
Household income
$80,257
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1259.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.09%
Current HPI
201.0894
Rent YoY
▲ 3.55%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.1% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $385,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $390,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $430,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $417,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-01-31 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-01-19 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-01-11 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-01-11 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-01-06 Listed $427,000 HARMLS
  • 2013-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-02-12 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2013-01-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-01-10 Listed $264,900 HARMLS
  • 2013-01-02 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2012-12-14 Price Changed $264,900 HARMLS
  • 2012-09-21 Listed $272,500 HARMLS
  • 2009-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-08-27 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2009-07-27 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2009-07-22 Listed $264,900 HARMLS
  • 2001-07-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2001-04-02 Listed $274,900 HARMLS
  • 2000-09-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $9,530 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…