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1694, 1696, 1698 Columbia Ave Triplex
B- Composite 67.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$475,000

1694, 1696, 1698 Columbia Ave · Manor, PA 17603
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,353 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1920 7,405 sqft lot $142/sqft · at area comps Est $453k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional multi-unit opportunity in a prime Lancaster location! This well-maintained triplex features three thoughtfully designed units, each offering comfortable living spaces and strong rental appeal. The first main-level unit boasts a spacious living area, a dine-in kitchen with abundant built-ins, and two bedrooms connected by a Jack-and-Jill full bath with a tub/shower combo. The second main-level unit offers a generous eat-in kitchen, a bright living room with well-kept luxury vinyl plank flooring, and sizable bedrooms sharing a Jack-and-Jill full bath with a walk-in shower. The upper-level unit features plush carpeting throughout, expansive living spaces, and numerous windows that fill the home with natural light. Situated on a corner lot, the property includes three private off-street parking spaces along with front and side yard areas. Conveniently located near local dining, shopping, and everyday amenities, this property presents an excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $639/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $475k).
  • Recommended offer: $446k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.3% in Manor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#888 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Penn Manor SD (suburban): math 52% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #80 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 292 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,397/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2557% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $446,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.14%
Cash-on-cash
17.31%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$452,696
List price
$475,000
Delta
4.93%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$29,331
Equity at exit
$70,824
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$120,934
Equity at exit
$41,069

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17603

Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
18.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,397 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$446 /mo · $5,357/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,343
Net cashflow
$1,918

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,969
Max offer price $475,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,187 -5% $2,053 +0% $1,918 +5% $1,784 +10% $1,649
Rent -10% $1,413 -5% $1,666 +0% $1,918 +5% $2,171 +10% $2,424
Rate -1.0pp $2,158 -0.5pp $2,039 base $1,918 +0.5pp $1,795 +1.0pp $1,670

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,397

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $475,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $475,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $475,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $475,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $475,000 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $475,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $475,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $475,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $475,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $475,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $475,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $475,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $475,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $475,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    listed $495,000 Active 1010-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1010 chars)

    Exceptional multi-unit opportunity in a prime Lancaster location! This well-maintained triplex features three thoughtfully designed units, each offering comfortable living spaces and strong rental appeal. The first main-level unit boasts a spacious living area, a dine-in kitchen with abundant built-ins, and two bedrooms connected by a Jack-and-Jill full bath with a tub/shower combo. The second main-level unit offers a generous eat-in kitchen, a bright living room with well-kept luxury vinyl plank flooring, and sizable bedrooms sharing a Jack-and-Jill full bath with a walk-in shower. The upper-level unit features plush carpeting throughout, expansive living spaces, and numerous windows that fill the home with natural light. Situated on a corner lot, the property includes three private off-street parking spaces along with front and side yard areas. Conveniently located near local dining, shopping, and everyday amenities, this property presents an excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity.

  16. 2026-03-30
    historical $495,000 1010-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1010 chars)

    Exceptional multi-unit opportunity in a prime Lancaster location! This well-maintained triplex features three thoughtfully designed units, each offering comfortable living spaces and strong rental appeal. The first main-level unit boasts a spacious living area, a dine-in kitchen with abundant built-ins, and two bedrooms connected by a Jack-and-Jill full bath with a tub/shower combo. The second main-level unit offers a generous eat-in kitchen, a bright living room with well-kept luxury vinyl plank flooring, and sizable bedrooms sharing a Jack-and-Jill full bath with a walk-in shower. The upper-level unit features plush carpeting throughout, expansive living spaces, and numerous windows that fill the home with natural light. Situated on a corner lot, the property includes three private off-street parking spaces along with front and side yard areas. Conveniently located near local dining, shopping, and everyday amenities, this property presents an excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,357 · $446/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,431 · $536/mo
Expected delta
+$1,074/yr (+$89/mo · 20.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$76,764
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$5,357
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,141
− Management
−$6,141
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable income
$16,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,918
After-tax cash flow
$19,102/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn Manor SD
NCES district ID
4218630
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,275
Composite
50.67/100
National rank
#1826
State rank
#80 of 539 in PA

Livability — Manor

Score
68/100
State rank
#888
US rank
#9450

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lancaster County · 390,309 people
City population
1,171
Metro
Lancaster, PA
Population (ZIP)
67,571
Household income
$77,084
Rent vs Own
38.1% rent · 61.9% own
Severe rent burden
2557.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, India
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -508.78%
Current HPI
289.3324
Rent YoY
▲ 0.47%
Metro
Lancaster, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $495,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Coming Soon $495,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,357 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…