150266 Midstate Rd · La Pine, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for the perfect hunting or camping getaway? This 2.12-acre property is ready for adventure! Featuring a well-maintained, FULLY FURNISHED 2 bed, 1 bath mobile home with a window air conditioning unit and a protective metal roof cover, plus a covered 1967 camp trailer for extra space. Improvements include a newer well (2012), septic system (2015), and a brand-new water heater (2024). The property also offers a functional outhouse (with a real toilet!!) with both 110 & 220 electric and a dryer, along with a shed (with electricity) and additional storage. Bring your family, RVs, and toys to enjoy all that Central Oregon has to offer--or escape to your own private retreat!
Key facts
- Newer well
- 2.12-acre property
- Septic system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.9% in La Pine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#300 in OR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.63%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,193
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $10,477
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97739
- Home prices YoY
- -4.5%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,552 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $274 | +0% $224 | +5% $174 | +10% $124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $102 | -5% $163 | +0% $224 | +5% $286 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $297 | -0.5pp $261 | base $224 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Looking for the perfect hunting or camping getaway? This 2.12-acre property is ready for adventure! Featuring a well-maintained, FULLY FURNISHED 2 bed, 1 bath mobile home with a window air conditioning unit and a protective metal roof cover, plus a covered 1967 camp trailer for extra space. Improvements include a newer well (2012), septic system (2015), and a brand-new water heater (2024). The property also offers a functional outhouse (with a real toilet!!) with both 110 & 220 electric and a dryer, along with a shed (with electricity) and additional storage. Bring your family, RVs, and toys to enjoy all that Central Oregon has to offer--or escape to your own private retreat!
-
2026-04-20$145,000 Active 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
Looking for the perfect hunting or camping getaway? This 2.12-acre property is ready for adventure! Featuring a well-maintained, FULLY FURNISHED 2 bed, 1 bath mobile home with a window air conditioning unit and a protective metal roof cover, plus a covered 1967 camp trailer for extra space. Improvements include a newer well (2012), septic system (2015), and a brand-new water heater (2024). The property also offers a functional outhouse (with a real toilet!!) with both 110 & 220 electric and a dryer, along with a shed (with electricity) and additional storage. Bring your family, RVs, and toys to enjoy all that Central Oregon has to offer--or escape to your own private retreat!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,490
- − Management
- −$1,490
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $406
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$97
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klamath County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4107020
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,906
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7593
- State rank
- #46 of 58 in OR
Livability — La Pine
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #20040
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Deschutes County · 197,892 people
- City population
- 13,183
- Metro
- Bend, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,183
- Household income
- $58,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 426.0
Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,870 people
- By 2030
- 62,279 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 58,891 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 56,207 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 51,239 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 46,526 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Klamath
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.28%
- Current HPI
- 585.9229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bend, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLSCO
- 2026-04-20 Listed $145,000 MLSCO
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $64 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…