55 Pumpkin Center Rd · Union, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity in Finleyville! Spacious 4 bedroom 2 bathroom home with so much potential! Large kitchen with plenty of cabinetry! Stone fireplace in living room! Basement for additional storage! Centrally located!
Key facts
- Fully gutted
- Private layout
- Kitchen cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transportation access
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Off-street parking; Nearly 0.6-acre lot; Public transportation nearby
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating
- Interior features: Full walk-out basement; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ringgold SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #452 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $190k implies a 696% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.82%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $23,892
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Pumpkin Center Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,172 (0%) | 18mo | $23,850 | $11 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-8,697
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $20,858
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15332
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,041 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $454 | -5% $400 | +0% $347 | +5% $293 | +10% $239 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $185 | -5% $266 | +0% $347 | +5% $427 | +10% $508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $395 | base $347 | +0.5pp $297 | +1.0pp $247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-05$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,644 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$356/yr (+$30/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,288
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,959
- − Management
- −$1,959
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $1,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ringgold SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220400
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,754
- Composite
- 23.75/100
- National rank
- #7819
- State rank
- #452 of 539 in PA
Livability — Union
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Washington County · 106,469 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,678
- Household income
- $66,578
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 145.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.78%
- Current HPI
- 239.7401
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+654.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $199,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-01-06 Sold (MLS) $23,850 West Penn MLS
- 2024-10-07 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $23,850 West Penn MLS
- 2024-08-12 Price Changed $25,175 West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-12 Listed $26,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,288 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…