14294 Brookridge Blvd · Brookridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE 2/2/1 CLOSE TO FRONT GATE AND POOL , LIGHT AND BRIGHT UPDATED OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH PASS THROUGH NICE FL ROOM LARGE U-ROOM ROOF OVER MOTIVATED SELLER !THIS HOME IS BEAUTIFUL ! MUST SEE
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Laminate flooring
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished; Homestead exempt
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: Brookridge Community HOA — $55 monthly; Community amenities: clubhouse, golf, pool; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; East-facing
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.14-acre lot
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt-paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.3% in Brookridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#421 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $129k implies a 231% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.46%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,800
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7429 Morelli Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+5%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $123 | 76 |
| 7448 Morelli Ave | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (+3%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $139 | 73 |
| 8006 Montrose Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (+1%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 14200 Sandhurst St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+5%) | 12mo | $126,000 | $131 | 63 |
| 7336 Brookridge Central Blvd | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 | 864 (-5%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $75 | 57 |
| 7464 Morelli Ave | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 989 (+8%) | 17mo | $155,000 | $157 | 57 |
| 7350 Mina Ave | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 816 (-10%) | 8mo | $124,000 | $152 | 50 |
| 8027 Fiat Ave | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+10%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 8040 Mission St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+10%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $155 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,003
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $33,427
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34613
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 691
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,576 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14697 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7124 Barclay Ave Unit A Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14342 Starcross St Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8407 Weatherford Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 13186 Thrush St Spring Hill, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7402 Eastern Circle Dr Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14373 Irving St Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,750 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15466 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 828 | $1,225 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$60/yr (+$5/mo · 5.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,011
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,512
- − Management
- −$1,512
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $2,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$621
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brookridge
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #421
- US rank
- #7529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookridge, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,337
- Household income
- $58,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.51%
- Current HPI
- 276.2229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+235.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-26 Sold (MLS) $39,000 HCAR
- 2013-04-26 Sold (MLS) $39,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2013-02-04 Listed $43,000 HCAR
- 2013-02-04 Listed $43,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2010-02-22 Sold (MLS) $28,000 HCAR
- 2009-07-24 Listed $38,500 HCAR
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,011 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…