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1818 N Woodbridge St
D+ Composite 46.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

1818 N Woodbridge St · Saginaw, MI 48602
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 807 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 326 Days on market
Built 1914 7,405 sqft lot Est $62k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 2-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays $936 directly to the owner. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1914
  • Listed 325 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.17 acres (60 x 120)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($919 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $85k implies a 1600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.09%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,139
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1815 W Genesee 0.20mi 2/1.0 818 (+1%) 1mo $74,000 $90 88
2105 Mershon St 0.26mi 2/1.0 822 (+2%) 5mo $120,000 $146 81
2312 Durand St 0.37mi 2/1.0 849 (+5%) 4mo $24,750 $29 71
1807 Union Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 728 (-10%) 10mo $24,500 $34 68
1520 Durand St 0.28mi 2/1.0 864 (+7%) 12mo $45,000 $52 65
2515 Cooper St 0.64mi 2/1.0 826 (+2%) 11mo $64,000 $77 57
2529 N BOND St 0.64mi 2/1.0 763 (-6%) 6mo $65,000 $85 56
2200 State St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 756 (-6%) 10mo $57,500 $76 56
920 Cronk Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 714 (-12%) 4mo $54,500 $76 55
2138 N Clinton St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+13%) 10mo $77,000 $84 48
1312 Ames St 0.74mi 2/1.0 880 (+9%) 11mo $27,500 $31 41
2558 N Bond St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 888 (+10%) 14mo $80,000 $90 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-3,886
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$12,036
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$919 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,253/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$193
Net cashflow
$141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $741
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $189 -5% $165 +0% $141 +5% $117 +10% $93
Rent -10% $68 -5% $104 +0% $141 +5% $177 +10% $213
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $162 base $141 +0.5pp $119 +1.0pp $96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 326 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 325 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 324 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 323 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 322 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 320 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 319 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 316 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 315 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 314 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 311 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 310 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 309 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 308 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 307 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 306 DOM
  17. 2025-07-28
    listed $85,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 2-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays $936 directly to the owner. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  18. 2025-07-28
    listed $85,000 Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 2-bedroom property has undergone many recent updates. Section 8 pays $936 directly to the owner. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  19. 2012-03-01
    soldstatus $5,000 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HUD Home. Cozy 2 bedroom with a partially finished basement. Newer hot water tank, covered front porch and fenced yard. Electrical has been updated. Home has tons of potential. Call now for your personal showing!!

  20. 2012-03-01
    soldstatus $5,000
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HUD Home. Cozy 2 bedroom with a partially finished basement. Newer hot water tank, covered front porch and fenced yard. Electrical has been updated. Home has tons of potential. Call now for your personal showing!!

  21. 2012-02-17
    historical
  22. 2011-07-19
    listed $7,440 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HUD Home. Cozy 2 bedroom with a partially finished basement. Newer hot water tank, covered front porch and fenced yard. Electrical has been updated. Home has tons of potential. Call now for your personal showing!!

  23. 2011-07-19
    listed $7,440
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HUD Home. Cozy 2 bedroom with a partially finished basement. Newer hot water tank, covered front porch and fenced yard. Electrical has been updated. Home has tons of potential. Call now for your personal showing!!

  24. 2002-09-17
    soldstatus $45,000
  25. 2002-08-09
    soldstatus $45,000
  26. 2002-08-09
    soldstatus $45,000
  27. 2002-02-04
    listed $48,500
  28. 2002-02-04
    listed $48,500
  29. 2002-01-02
    historical
  30. 2001-08-02
    listed $48,000
  31. 2001-08-02
    listed $48,000
  32. 2000-02-21
    historical
  33. 2000-02-21
    listed $49,000
  34. 2000-02-21
    historical
  35. 2000-02-21
    listed $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,253 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,281 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 2.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,031
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,253
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$883
− Management
−$883
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$85
After-tax cash flow
$1,603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.5% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-01 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-01 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-07-19 Listed $7,440 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-07-19 Listed $7,440 REALCOMP
  • 2002-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-02-04 Listed $48,500 REALCOMP
  • 2002-02-04 Listed $48,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-01-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-08-02 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-08-02 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-02-21 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-02-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-02-21 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-02-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,253 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…