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1891 Mina Rd
B Composite 74.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1891 Mina Rd · Hayes, MI 48625
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1976 0.33 ac lot $54/sqft · 18% below area Est $61k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1976

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry on ground level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 924 square feet
  • Exterior features: Dirt road access; Lot approximately 0.33 acres (208 x 69)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane fuel; No central cooling
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Ground-level entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($883 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 238 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $50k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
14.92%
Cash-on-cash
30.83%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,256
List price
$50,000
Delta
-18.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$14,812
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$42,427
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48625

Home prices YoY
-25.5%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$883 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $654/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $427
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $50,000 Active 33 DOM
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.

  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $53,000 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.

  17. 2026-05-18
    price $53,000 906-char remark
  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $55,000 Active 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.

  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $55,000 Active 906-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.

  20. 2026-04-27
    historical $55,000 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.

  21. 2020-03-09
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$654 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$712 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$58/yr (+$5/mo · 8.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,590
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$654
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$847
− Management
−$847
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$3,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$897
After-tax cash flow
$3,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison Community Schools
NCES district ID
2617820
Math proficiency
17% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$30,377
Composite
18.07/100
National rank
#8977
State rank
#457 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hayes

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,939

Population outlook (Clare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,283 people
By 2030
28,199 · -3.7%
By 2040
25,722 · -12.2%
By 2050
23,372 · -20.2%
By 2075
18,569 · -36.6%
By 2100
14,320 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clare

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.5% · R 68.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-42.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+4.8 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.38%
Current HPI
234.9586
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $53,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $53,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $654 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…