1891 Mina Rd · Hayes, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry on ground level
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 924 square feet
- Exterior features: Dirt road access; Lot approximately 0.33 acres (208 x 69)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane fuel; No central cooling
- Interior features: 4 total rooms; Ground-level entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($883 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 238 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $50k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.83%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,256
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -18.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $14,812
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $42,427
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48625
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $883 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $654/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $50,000 Active 33 DOM
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.
-
2026-06-01days on market $53,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $53,000 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.
-
2026-05-18price $53,000 906-char remark
-
2026-05-01$55,000 Active 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.
-
2026-05-01$55,000 Active 906-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.
-
2026-04-27historical $55,000 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bed, 1 bath home on approximately ½ acre in a quiet Harrison setting - perfect for a year-round residence, Up North getaway, or investment opportunity. This ~1,000 sq ft home offers a functional, comfortable layout with key updates already completed, including a durable metal roof (approx. 2 years old) and an updated well system with bladder tank (approx. 3 years old). The property is serviced by a 1,000-gallon septic system with dry well, and natural gas was recently brought to the area for added convenience. What really sets this property apart is the added potential - the adjacent lot is also available for purchase and already has well and septic in place, making it ideal for building, expanding, or future resale. Enjoy a peaceful setting while still being close to the lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation. that make the Harrison area so popular year-round.
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2020-03-09soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $654 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $712 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 8.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$654
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$847
- − Management
- −$847
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $3,736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$897
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617820
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,377
- Composite
- 18.07/100
- National rank
- #8977
- State rank
- #457 of 540 in MI
Livability — Hayes
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,939
Population outlook (Clare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,283 people
- By 2030
- 28,199 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 25,722 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 23,372 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 18,569 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 14,320 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clare
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.5% · R 68.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+4.8 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.38%
- Current HPI
- 234.9586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+92.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $53,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $53,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-01 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $654 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…