1102 Lake St · Emmetsburg, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is your opportunity to live on 1 level and rent out the other, as this house is already set up for a Duplex! The main floor has a primary en suite with a separate tub/shower & in-room laundry, open kitchen - living area, enclosed front porch, and the front Foyer has the original staircase that leads up to the 2nd floor. The upper Duplex has a kitchenette area, a living area with a bay window, 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bath, and a 3rd non-conforming bedroom in the rear. The original staircase is present for the walk-up attic. There is an insulated double detached garage that has a furnace. A little TLC and this Victorian could be amazing!
Key facts
- In-room laundry
- Kitchenette area
- Primary en suite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.4% in Emmetsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#31 in IA, #881 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Emmetsburg Community School District (town): math 64% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #176 of 289 in IA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Palo Alto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palo Alto County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $75k implies a 659% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.55%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,321
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -53.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 Madison St | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,726 (-6%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $90 | 74 |
| 703 Superior St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,872 (+2%) | 1mo | $201,000 | $107 | 72 |
| 1002 Call St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,745 (-5%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $106 | 72 |
| 1608 12th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,802 (-2%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $119 | 69 |
| 1709 10th St | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 | 1,710 (-7%) | 10mo | $47,500 | $28 | 60 |
| 402 State St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (-4%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 1502 Main St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,800 (-2%) | 12mo | $169,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 2209 Lawler St | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,826 (-1%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $74 | 55 |
| 703 Des Moines St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,074 (+12%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $72 | 54 |
| 1001 Jefferson St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 2,059 (+12%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $95 | 52 |
| 2808 1st St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (-4%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $128 | 49 |
| 2807 5th St | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 2,074 (+12%) | 9mo | $328,850 | $159 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $6,380
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $29,651
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50536
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,157 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,399/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $311 | +0% $290 | +5% $268 | +10% $247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $198 | -5% $244 | +0% $290 | +5% $335 | +10% $381 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $327 | -0.5pp $309 | base $290 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-05-02status Active 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Here is your opportunity to live on 1 level and rent out the other, as this house is already set up for a Duplex! The main floor has a primary en suite with a separate tub/shower & in-room laundry, open kitchen - living area, enclosed front porch, and the front Foyer has the original staircase that leads up to the 2nd floor. The upper Duplex has a kitchenette area, a living area with a bay window, 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bath, and a 3rd non-conforming bedroom in the rear. The original staircase is present for the walk-up attic. There is an insulated double detached garage that has a furnace. A little TLC and this Victorian could be amazing!
-
2026-04-21historical Active Under Contract 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Here is your opportunity to live on 1 level and rent out the other, as this house is already set up for a Duplex! The main floor has a primary en suite with a separate tub/shower & in-room laundry, open kitchen - living area, enclosed front porch, and the front Foyer has the original staircase that leads up to the 2nd floor. The upper Duplex has a kitchenette area, a living area with a bay window, 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bath, and a 3rd non-conforming bedroom in the rear. The original staircase is present for the walk-up attic. There is an insulated double detached garage that has a furnace. A little TLC and this Victorian could be amazing!
-
2026-02-28status Active 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Here is your opportunity to live on 1 level and rent out the other, as this house is already set up for a Duplex! The main floor has a primary en suite with a separate tub/shower & in-room laundry, open kitchen - living area, enclosed front porch, and the front Foyer has the original staircase that leads up to the 2nd floor. The upper Duplex has a kitchenette area, a living area with a bay window, 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bath, and a 3rd non-conforming bedroom in the rear. The original staircase is present for the walk-up attic. There is an insulated double detached garage that has a furnace. A little TLC and this Victorian could be amazing!
-
2025-12-01historical Active Under Contract 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Here is your opportunity to live on 1 level and rent out the other, as this house is already set up for a Duplex! The main floor has a primary en suite with a separate tub/shower & in-room laundry, open kitchen - living area, enclosed front porch, and the front Foyer has the original staircase that leads up to the 2nd floor. The upper Duplex has a kitchenette area, a living area with a bay window, 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bath, and a 3rd non-conforming bedroom in the rear. The original staircase is present for the walk-up attic. There is an insulated double detached garage that has a furnace. A little TLC and this Victorian could be amazing!
-
2025-10-30$75,000 Active 649-char remark
Show marketing remark (649 chars)
Here is your opportunity to live on 1 level and rent out the other, as this house is already set up for a Duplex! The main floor has a primary en suite with a separate tub/shower & in-room laundry, open kitchen - living area, enclosed front porch, and the front Foyer has the original staircase that leads up to the 2nd floor. The upper Duplex has a kitchenette area, a living area with a bay window, 2 bedrooms, a 3/4 bath, and a 3rd non-conforming bedroom in the rear. The original staircase is present for the walk-up attic. There is an insulated double detached garage that has a furnace. A little TLC and this Victorian could be amazing!
-
2024-01-23$89,900 Active
-
2016-11-02soldstatus $9,875
-
2006-12-21soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,399 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,399 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,886
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$2,399
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,111
- − Management
- −$1,111
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,507
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$602
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Emmetsburg Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1910950
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,839
- Composite
- 56.97/100
- National rank
- #1110
- State rank
- #176 of 289 in IA
Livability — Emmetsburg
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #881
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Emmetsburg, IA
- City population
- 4,287
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,287
Population outlook (Palo Alto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,816 people
- By 2030
- 8,634 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 8,334 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 8,232 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 8,533 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 8,976 · +1.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palo Alto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.0) · D 26.9% · R 71.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: 2.8pp · 2024: -45.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.0 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.96%
- Current HPI
- 237.1703
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+44.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2026-02-28 Relisted — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2025-12-01 Contingent — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2025-10-30 Listed $75,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2024-01-23 Listed $89,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2016-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $9,875 Public Records
- 2006-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,399 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…