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316 Floyd St
C Composite 59.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

316 Floyd St · Surrey, MI 48622
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1988 1.37 ac lot Est $149k · 40% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home situated on 1.37 acres -- perfect for a growing family! Enjoy the large, partially fenced yard with plenty of space for outdoor activities, pets, or entertaining. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This home also features an added bonus bedroom and a functional mudroom, offering extra space and flexibility for your family's needs. This home needs just the right person that can give it the TLC it needs.

Key facts

  • Functional mudroom
  • Added bonus bedroom
  • 1.37 acre lot

Tags

PARTIALLY FENCED YARDADDED BONUS BEDROOMFUNCTIONAL MUDROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential; Built in 1988
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: 1.37-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: 11 total rooms; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Farwell Area Schools (town): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #388 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.30%
Cash-on-cash
7.16%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,160
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 S Hayes St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,456 (+10%) 2mo $164,300 $113 62
496 W Maple Rd 0.21mi 3/3.5 1,500 (+14%) 4mo $345,000 $230 58
301 W Ellen St 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,261 (-4%) 20mo $122,500 $97 58
103 E ohio St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-7%) 13mo $117,900 $96 53
460 Evergreen Trl 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-2%) 14mo $179,000 $138 53
546 E Michigan St 0.42mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (+14%) 0mo $122,000 $81 51
421 W Washington Rd 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,173 (-11%) 6mo $150,000 $128 48
152 N Corning St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,479 (+12%) 12mo $21,000 $14 42
304 N Corning St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,168 (-12%) 20mo $130,000 $111 31
11736 Stonehedge Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+14%) 14mo $185,500 $123 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-5,003
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$7,950
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48622

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$940 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $999/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $201 -5% $176 +0% $150 +5% $125 +10% $99
Rent -10% $76 -5% $113 +0% $150 +5% $187 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $173 base $150 +0.5pp $127 +1.0pp $103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home situated on 1.37 acres -- perfect for a growing family! Enjoy the large, partially fenced yard with plenty of space for outdoor activities, pets, or entertaining. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This home also features an added bonus bedroom and a functional mudroom, offering extra space and flexibility for your family's needs. This home needs just the right person that can give it the TLC it needs.

  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $110,000 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home situated on 1.37 acres -- perfect for a growing family! Enjoy the large, partially fenced yard with plenty of space for outdoor activities, pets, or entertaining. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This home also features an added bonus bedroom and a functional mudroom, offering extra space and flexibility for your family's needs. This home needs just the right person that can give it the TLC it needs.

  18. 2026-05-13
    listed $110,000 Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home situated on 1.37 acres -- perfect for a growing family! Enjoy the large, partially fenced yard with plenty of space for outdoor activities, pets, or entertaining. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This home also features an added bonus bedroom and a functional mudroom, offering extra space and flexibility for your family's needs. This home needs just the right person that can give it the TLC it needs.

  19. 2026-05-13
    listed $110,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home situated on 1.37 acres -- perfect for a growing family! Enjoy the large, partially fenced yard with plenty of space for outdoor activities, pets, or entertaining. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This home also features an added bonus bedroom and a functional mudroom, offering extra space and flexibility for your family's needs. This home needs just the right person that can give it the TLC it needs.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$999 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,192 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$193/yr (+$16/mo · 19.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,277
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$999
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$902
− Management
−$902
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$373
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$90
After-tax cash flow
$1,713/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farwell Area Schools
NCES district ID
2614100
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,696
Composite
24.07/100
National rank
#7760
State rank
#388 of 540 in MI

Livability — Surrey

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Farwell, MI
Population (ZIP)
5,970

Population outlook (Clare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,283 people
By 2030
28,199 · -3.7%
By 2040
25,722 · -12.2%
By 2050
23,372 · -20.2%
By 2075
18,569 · -36.6%
By 2100
14,320 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clare

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.5% · R 68.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-42.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+4.8 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.95%
Current HPI
229.7867
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $110,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $999 · -30.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…