265 Springfield Ave · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on a charming tree-lined street in the Northland-Lyceum neighborhood, this move in ready 4 bedroom Cape Cod is waiting for you. Hardwood floors greet you from the moment you step in the front door. You are welcomes into a spacious living room filled with natural light from a large picture window. The eat-in kitchen features white cabinetry, a tile backsplash, and plenty of space for everyday dining. Down the hall you will find 2 first-floor bedrooms and a full bath. This home is perfect for on-level living. Upstairs there are 2 additional bedrooms. A large breezeway entryway adds bonus space and connects to the 1 car attached garage. Downstairs, the partially finished basement is an
Key facts
- Eat in kitchen
- Private patio
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available and connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story property; Resale condition; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fencing; Patio; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms; Main-level primary bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Sunroom / Florida room; Basement (full)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $105k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.40%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265 Springfield Ave | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,268 (0%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $158 | 95 |
| 23 Martinot Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (+2%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $197 | 76 |
| 85 Culver Pkwy | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,298 (+2%) | 1mo | $287,500 | $221 | 65 |
| 204 Salisbury St | 0.12mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,449 (+14%) | 1mo | $187,460 | $129 | 64 |
| 281 Ellison St | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+6%) | 0mo | $184,000 | $136 | 64 |
| 298 Fieldwood Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+4%) | 2mo | $193,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 201 Arbutus St | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,180 (-7%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 230 Laurelton Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (+7%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $212 | 59 |
| 82 Willmont St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-13%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $141 | 57 |
| 865 N Goodman St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,245 (-2%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $61 | 56 |
| 1542 N Goodman St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+6%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $153 | 55 |
| 227 Newcomb St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $164 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $32,937
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 36.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.14×
- Total profit
- $121,528
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14609
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,698 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $706 | -5% $676 | +0% $646 | +5% $617 | +10% $587 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $512 | -5% $579 | +0% $646 | +5% $713 | +10% $780 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $699 | -0.5pp $673 | base $646 | +0.5pp $619 | +1.0pp $591 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 222 Ellison St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,030 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 930 | $2,005 | $2.16 | 3d | 9 | 0.55mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,675 | $1.68 | 44d | 3 | 0.55mi |
| 182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 11d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 52 Frances St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 207 Lux St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1728 | $2,150 | $1.24 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 147 5th St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| — Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 811 Portland Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1616 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,400 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 25 Trust St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1003 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 322 Wisconsin St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,775 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 11d | 4 | 1.18mi |
| 32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,485 | $2.28 | 3d | 8 | 1.19mi |
| 149 Brookdale Park Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1543 | $2,950 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,630 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,975 | $1.35 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $950 | $0.81 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 100 Hulda Park Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 3759 | $782 | $0.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 176 Merwin Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1750 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-22$104,900 Active
-
1997-04-07soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,221 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,497 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 22.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,221
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,631
- − Management
- −$1,631
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $6,447
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,547
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,274
- Household income
- $64,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2183.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.57%
- Current HPI
- 328.7053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+114.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $104,900 UNYREIS
- 1997-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,221 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…