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2125 Tucker Rd
B- Composite 67.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

2125 Tucker Rd · Harlingen, TX 78552
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,178 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1950 0.60 ac lot $98/sqft · 47% below area Est $216k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sitting on a spacious .60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it’s perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to create the home you’ve always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • Room to expand
  • 0.6 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTROOM TO EXPAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.85%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$215,824
List price
$115,000
Delta
-46.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2125 Tucker Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,178 (0%) 0mo $115,000 $98 100
2605 Haverford Blvd 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,341 (+14%) 5mo $253,000 $189 70
2101 W Ann Arbor St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,219 (+4%) 6mo $205,000 $168 62
3405 Penelope Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,298 (+10%) 12mo $239,999 $185 42
3410 Penelope Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,298 (+10%) 10mo $239,999 $185 41
3414 Penelope Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,298 (+10%) 10mo $239,900 $185 40
3401 Penelope Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,313 (+12%) 13mo $243,000 $185 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-4,106
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,778
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78552

Home prices YoY
-13.8%
Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
534
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,771/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,011
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
902 S Palm Court Dr Harlingen, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 873 $1,455 $1.67 13d 18 0.69mi
1119 W Garfield St Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,300 $0.93 21d 1 1.23mi
1005 W Garfield St Apt C2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1120 $995 $0.89 21d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious .60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it’s perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to create the home you’ve always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  3. 2026-05-05
    historical Option 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious .60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it’s perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to create the home you’ve always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  4. 2026-05-05
    status Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious .60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it’s perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to create the home you’ve always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  5. 2026-05-05
    historical 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious .60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it’s perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to create the home you’ve always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  6. 2026-05-05
    listed $115,000 Active 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious .60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it’s perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to create the home you’ve always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  7. 2026-04-19
    status Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  8. 2026-04-19
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  9. 2026-02-06
    status Pending
  10. 2026-02-05
    status Pending 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  11. 2026-01-27
    historical Option
  12. 2026-01-22
    status Active
  13. 2026-01-21
    price $115,000
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2026-01-21
    status Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-01-21
    price $115,000 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-01-14
    historical Option
  17. 2025-12-05
    price $132,500 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2025-12-05
    price $132,500
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2025-11-04
    listed $139,900 Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2025-11-04
    listed $139,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Sitting on a spacious . 60-acre lot, this property offers endless possibilities! Located in a great area, it's perfect for those looking to remodel or design their ideal living space. With plenty of room to expand, this home is being sold as is — ready for the right buyer to bring their vision to life. Don't miss out on this opportunity to create the home you've always imagined. Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2019-04-03
    soldstatus
  22. 2019-04-02
    soldstatus
  23. 2017-10-25
    soldstatus
  24. 2017-10-23
    soldstatus
  25. 2017-08-27
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,771 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,104 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$333/yr (+$28/mo · 18.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,554
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,771
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,324
− Management
−$1,324
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$425
After-tax cash flow
$3,069/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,332
Household income
$69,811
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
487.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 31% White 16% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 49% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.61%
Current HPI
197.1906
Rent YoY
▼ -1.87%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+53.5% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Delisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $115,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $115,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $115,000 RGVMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $132,500 RGVMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $132,500 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $139,900 RGVMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $139,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2019-04-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-10-23 Sold (MLS) RGVMLS
  • 2017-08-27 Listed $74,900 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,771 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…