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416 N 59th Ave Ave W Multi-family
B- Composite 68.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

416 N 59th Ave Ave W · Duluth, MN 55808
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1892 3,049 sqft lot $122/sqft · 32% above area Est $210k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

No open house cancelled . Showings are encouraged! Lower unit only during open house due to tenant rights. Upper can be shown by appointment 24 hour notice. Clean, well-maintained, and beautifully finished inside and out, this home offers flexibility for an owner-occupant or investor. Features include a brand-new roof with transferable 20 year warranty with Empire Roofing, all appliances included, a beautifully fenced yard, landscaping, outdoor seating areas, a 16x12 shed, and asphalt parking pad. New furnace in 2021 with central air in the main floor only, tenant uses a window or portable air unit, no basement. Comes with Murphy bed in the 1st level living room & shelving stays. Hang

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1892
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking; no garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Two stories
  • Exterior features: Asphalt and shingle roof; Shed on the property; Paved road access maintained by the public; Lot approximately 25 x 125 (0.07 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas and electric heating
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.16%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$209,612
List price
$175,000
Delta
-16.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
122 N 64th Ave Ave W 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+11%) 12mo $200,000 $125 47
221 S 56th Ave Ave W 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,435 (-0%) 22mo $211,000 $147 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,955
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$32,260
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55808

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,792/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $514 -5% $464 +0% $415 +5% $365 +10% $316
Rent -10% $259 -5% $337 +0% $415 +5% $492 +10% $570
Rate -1.0pp $503 -0.5pp $459 base $415 +0.5pp $369 +1.0pp $323

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,968

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5725 W 8th St Unit 2 Duluth, MN 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 21d 1 0.38mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1165-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $175,000 Active 1165-char remark
  3. 2014-02-18
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,792 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,876 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 4.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,616
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,792
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,889
− Management
−$1,889
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$2,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$546
After-tax cash flow
$4,431/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
City population
71,097
Population (ZIP)
5,325

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.66%
Current HPI
237.4607
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+261.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $188,000 LSAR
  • 2026-05-11 Pending LSAR
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $188,000 LSAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $175,000 LSAR
  • 2014-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,792 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…