Fourplex
508 Cabrillo St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,050,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
Key facts
- 93 walk score
- Golden gate park
- World-class dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Home design: Residential income property (quadruplex); Built in 1909
- Construction: 1909 construction
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Interior features: Four tenant-occupied units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.05M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $142/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.76M (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.76M (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+17.1%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $17,622/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($164k/yr) (locally 1780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $176k of equity ($14k loan paydown + $162k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $574k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$283k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.99M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1.28M; list at $2.05M implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,861,393
- List price
- $2,050,000
- Delta
- 10.13%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 467 7th Ave | 0.30mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,718 (-0%) | 8mo | $2,668,000 | $718 | 74 |
| 419 Cabrillo St | 0.06mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 3,785 (+2%) | 20mo | $1,866,375 | $493 | 69 |
| 838 Arguello Blvd | 0.33mi | 8/4.0 | 3,480 (-6%) | 16mo | $1,615,000 | $464 | 60 |
| 2823-2825 Golden Gate Ave | 0.39mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,676 (-1%) | 20mo | $1,475,000 | $401 | 58 |
| 601-607 9th Ave | 0.20mi | 8/4.0 | 4,226 (+14%) | 12mo | $1,250,000 | $296 | 58 |
| 41 Palm Ave | 0.73mi | 8/4.0 | 3,931 (+6%) | 2mo | $2,800,000 | $712 | 55 |
| 350 11th Ave | 0.52mi | 8/— | 4,004 (+8%) | 18mo | $1,600,000 | $400 | 48 |
| 278 7th Ave | 0.55mi | 8/4.0 | 4,200 (+13%) | 10mo | $2,400,000 | $571 | 44 |
| 462 2nd Ave | 0.40mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 3,385 (-9%) | 17mo | $2,550,000 | $753 | 44 |
| 597 Lincoln Way | 0.67mi | 8/5.0 | 4,095 (+10%) | 8mo | $2,200,000 | $537 | 41 |
| 725 18th Ave | 0.71mi | 8/6.0 | 4,040 (+9%) | 11mo | $1,528,000 | $378 | 35 |
| 166 10th Ave | 0.72mi | 8/2.0 | 4,120 (+11%) | 13mo | $1,512,500 | $367 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.92% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $962,732
- Equity at exit
- $1,546,018
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $3,000,351
- Equity at exit
- $3,057,997
Cash invested: $574,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94118
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Rents YoY
- 17.1%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 38.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $17,622 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10,750
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,750 /mo · $21,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$854
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,701
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $17,620 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $4,405 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $4,405 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $4,405 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $4,405 |
| Total (4 units) | $17,622 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $512,500
- Closing costs
- $61,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,050,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,050,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,050,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,050,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,050,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,050,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $2,050,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$2,150,000 Active 924-char remark
-
2009-09-15soldstatus $1,285,000 Closed 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
-
2009-09-15soldstatus $1,285,000
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
-
2009-09-11historical 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
-
2009-08-10historical Contingent - Show 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
-
2009-08-09historical 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
-
2009-05-08$1,399,000 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
Beautifully maintained 4 unit 1909 Edwardian building in a desirable rental location in the inner Richmond, one block from Golden Gate Park. Four 2 BR 1 BA unit with updated kitchens with granite countertops and renovated tiled bathrooms. Large in-unit laundry room. 4 storage rooms, three of which are rented. Charming side patio for barbecues. Excellent income and upside potential. Easy building to maintain.
-
2005-06-23soldstatus $1,040,000
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
New on market. 4 Edwardian style units. Investment opportunity in a desirable location. Hardwood floors. Units 2.4.6 have updated kitchens w/ granite countertops & oak cabinets. renovated bathrooms. 4 separate storage rooms, potential for expansion. To show 5/17 12-1:30pm broker tour. Lock box at unit #8, 2nd FL.
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2005-05-05historical
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
New on market. 4 Edwardian style units. Investment opportunity in a desirable location. Hardwood floors. Units 2.4.6 have updated kitchens w/ granite countertops & oak cabinets. renovated bathrooms. 4 separate storage rooms, potential for expansion. To show 5/17 12-1:30pm broker tour. Lock box at unit #8, 2nd FL.
-
2005-04-29$1,190,000
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
New on market. 4 Edwardian style units. Investment opportunity in a desirable location. Hardwood floors. Units 2.4.6 have updated kitchens w/ granite countertops & oak cabinets. renovated bathrooms. 4 separate storage rooms, potential for expansion. To show 5/17 12-1:30pm broker tour. Lock box at unit #8, 2nd FL.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $21,002 · $1,750/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $21,002 · $1,750/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $211,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$114,832
- − Property taxes
- −$21,002
- − Insurance
- −$10,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$16,917
- − Management
- −$16,917
- − Depreciation
- −$59,636
- Taxable loss
- −$28,090
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,130
- Household income
- $163,995
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1780.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Asian 32% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Chinese 15% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.92%
- Current HPI
- 250.5205
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 17.14%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+72.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $2,050,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $2,150,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2009-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $1,285,000 Public Records
- 2009-09-15 Sold (MLS) $1,285,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2009-09-11 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-08-10 Contingent — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-08-09 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2009-05-08 Listed $1,399,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2005-06-23 Sold (MLS) $1,040,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2005-05-05 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2005-04-29 Listed $1,190,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $21,002 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…