116 W D St · David City, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$137,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 1½-story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, offering a great opportunity for a starter home or renovation project. The property includes updates such as a 5-year-old roof, newer gas furnace, central air conditioning, and updated windows, providing comfort and efficiency. Inside, you’ll find mostly hardwood flooring, built-in cabinets, and plenty of potential to make this home your own. The kitchen and bathroom are functional but would benefit from modern upgrades—perfect for a buyer looking to add value with personal touches. Situated on a nice lot, the property also includes a one-stall detached garage and a storage shed for additional space. Whether you’re looking for an affordable first home or a project with upside, this property is full of possibilities. Take a look today!
Key facts
- 5 year old roof
- Hardwood flooring
- Updated windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($384/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#84 in NE, #3,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- David City Public Schools (town): math 61% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #21 of 111 in NE (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($947 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Butler County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.00%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,343
- List price
- $137,000
- Delta
- -27.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290 3rd St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+11%) | 11mo | $197,500 | $148 | 50 |
| 1129 N 4th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-12%) | 15mo | $147,000 | $140 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $14,333
- Equity at exit
- $57,180
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $53,407
- Equity at exit
- $84,826
Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68632
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $677/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,250
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $137,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $137,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $137,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $137,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $137,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $137,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $137,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $137,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $137,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $137,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $137,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $137,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $137,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $137,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2025-12-08$137,000 Active 836-char remark
Show marketing remark (836 chars)
Welcome to this 1½-story home featuring 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, offering a great opportunity for a starter home or renovation project. The property includes updates such as a 5-year-old roof, newer gas furnace, central air conditioning, and updated windows, providing comfort and efficiency. Inside, you’ll find mostly hardwood flooring, built-in cabinets, and plenty of potential to make this home your own. The kitchen and bathroom are functional but would benefit from modern upgrades—perfect for a buyer looking to add value with personal touches. Situated on a nice lot, the property also includes a one-stall detached garage and a storage shed for additional space. Whether you’re looking for an affordable first home or a project with upside, this property is full of possibilities. Take a look today!
-
2024-09-30soldstatus $130,000
-
2024-09-27soldstatus $130,000 Closed 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
THIS HOME HAS HAD MANY UPDATES. NEW WINDOWS, NEW FURNACE AND AC, AND NEW ELECTRICAL SERVICE PANEL. THIS HOME HAS BEEN A RENTAL. THIS WOULD MAKE A GREAT INVESTMENT OR STARTER HOME.
-
2024-08-20status Pending 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
THIS HOME HAS HAD MANY UPDATES. NEW WINDOWS, NEW FURNACE AND AC, AND NEW ELECTRICAL SERVICE PANEL. THIS HOME HAS BEEN A RENTAL. THIS WOULD MAKE A GREAT INVESTMENT OR STARTER HOME.
-
2024-07-25$168,000 Active 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
THIS HOME HAS HAD MANY UPDATES. NEW WINDOWS, NEW FURNACE AND AC, AND NEW ELECTRICAL SERVICE PANEL. THIS HOME HAS BEEN A RENTAL. THIS WOULD MAKE A GREAT INVESTMENT OR STARTER HOME.
-
2009-04-03soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $677 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,370 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,693/yr (+$141/mo · 250.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$677
- − Insurance
- −$685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,050
- − Management
- −$1,050
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable loss
- −$1,998
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$479
- After-tax cash flow
- $864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- David City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100002
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,334
- Composite
- 50.52/100
- National rank
- #1850
- State rank
- #21 of 111 in NE
Livability — David City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #3473
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- David City, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,877
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,618 people
- By 2030
- 7,353 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 6,802 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 6,253 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 5,416 · -28.9%
- By 2100
- 4,653 · -38.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Portuguese 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.8% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.6pp · 2024: -59.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.6 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+35.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Current HPI
- 329.49
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+448.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-08 Listed $137,000 CBOR
- 2024-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-27 Sold (MLS) $130,000 CBOR
- 2024-08-20 Pending — CBOR
- 2024-07-25 Listed $168,000 CBOR
- 2009-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $677 · +27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…