517 South Haugh Ave · Picayune, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor alert! This cottage style home is located in the heart of Picayune and is priced to sell! There's a lot of work to do here but when you're done you could have a great place to call home or a good investment property. Features include a large kitchen/den combo and two nice sized bedroom - there's a big utility room too!
Key facts
- Big utility room
- 0.5 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space; 1 covered space; Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Lot dimensions approximately 150' x 145' (about 0.4993 acre)
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Partial fencing; Shed(s); City lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Dishwasher; Electric range; No fireplace; 4 total rooms; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.3% in Picayune — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in MS, #3,748 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
- Picayune School District (town): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #60 of 130 in MS (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 326 units permitted in Pearl River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Pearl River County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.10%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,859
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 S Steele Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 | 1,052 (+1%) | 21mo | $76,300 | $73 | 75 |
| 800 S Main St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,148 (+10%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $113 | 51 |
| 703 E Canal St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,157 (+11%) | 9mo | $149,999 | $130 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $34,346
- Equity at exit
- $22,482
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $82,625
- Equity at exit
- $34,648
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38466
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $444
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1010 Telly Rd Picayune, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-24$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,825
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This cottage-style home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and paint the interior walls. With these updates, it could become a great investment property or a move-in-ready home.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — remodeling in progress
- Major bathroom fixtures — tub and shower appear old and worn
- Minor exterior siding — some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both replace bathroom fixtures and tub/shower — modernizing bathroom will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · remodeling in progress | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · tub and shower appear old and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures and tub/shower — modernizing bathroom will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Picayune School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803630
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,446
- Composite
- 27.17/100
- National rank
- #7025
- State rank
- #60 of 130 in MS
Livability — Picayune
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #3748
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Picayune, MS
Population outlook (Pearl River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,426 people
- By 2030
- 51,663 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 47,611 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 43,286 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 32,859 · -38.5%
- By 2100
- 22,476 · -57.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Listed $50,000 PRCBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…