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306 N Walnut St
B+ Composite 76.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$30,000

306 N Walnut St · Genoa, NE 68640
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1905 10,428 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * AUCTION to be held June 23rd 2026 with closing to be on July 10th 2026. Open house on June 12th from 5:00pm to 6:30pm. Starting bid will be $30,000 * * Great investment, flip or rental opportunity with this house. 2 bedroom, 1 bath oversized 1 car garage with a shop area. This house offers 1192 square feet and the garage is 624 sq ft. Built on a large lot. 79x132. This home has great potential. "As-Is" Sale.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1905

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 79 x 132

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Interior features: Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#216 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Twin River Public Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #79 of 111 in NE (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Nance County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $909 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Nance County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,550 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.49%
Cap rate
30.77%
Cash-on-cash
87.40%
DSCR
4.89
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,632
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
413 Walnut St 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,024 (-14%) 18mo $72,500 $71 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.8%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$42,650
Equity at exit
$13,541
10-year hold
IRR
91.3%
Equity multiple
12.57×
Total profit
$97,191
Equity at exit
$20,909

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68640

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $272
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $30,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$538 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$538 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,554
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,004
− Management
−$1,004
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$7,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,753
After-tax cash flow
$5,589/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin River Public Schools
NCES district ID
3100129
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,425
Composite
39.44/100
National rank
#3961
State rank
#79 of 111 in NE

Livability — Genoa

Score
70/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#7720

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Genoa, NE
Population (ZIP)
1,045

Population outlook (Nance County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,425 people
By 2030
3,330 · -2.8%
By 2040
3,165 · -7.6%
By 2050
3,004 · -12.3%
By 2075
2,787 · -18.6%
By 2100
2,559 · -25.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 20% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Nance

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.2% · R 79.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.2pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.03%
Current HPI
192.7896
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $30,000 CBOR

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $538 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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