48 S Main St · Roseville, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home in Roseville with a detached 2 car garage. 2 living rooms with a large dining room, kitchen and full size bathroom make up the first floor. Upstairs there are 3 large bedrooms and another full bathroom. Nice level lot with a ibg front porch and a large deck in the back with mature trees. Call your Realtor for your viewing.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1901
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#816 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
- Franklin Local (rural): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #428 of 656 in OH (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Muskingum County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Muskingum County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.58%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $45,918
- Equity at exit
- $31,961
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.67×
- Total profit
- $111,051
- Equity at exit
- $49,637
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43777
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $897/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $581
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $621 | -5% $601 | +0% $581 | +5% $561 | +10% $542 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $476 | -5% $529 | +0% $581 | +5% $634 | +10% $686 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $616 | -0.5pp $599 | base $581 | +0.5pp $563 | +1.0pp $545 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $70,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Large 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home in Roseville with a detached 2 car garage. 2 living rooms with a large dining room, kitchen and full size bathroom make up the first floor. Upstairs there are 3 large bedrooms and another full bathroom. Nice level lot with a ibg front porch and a large deck in the back with mature trees. Call your Realtor for your viewing.
-
2026-02-26price $75,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Large 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home in Roseville with a detached 2 car garage. 2 living rooms with a large dining room, kitchen and full size bathroom make up the first floor. Upstairs there are 3 large bedrooms and another full bathroom. Nice level lot with a ibg front porch and a large deck in the back with mature trees. Call your Realtor for your viewing.
-
2025-12-23price $80,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Large 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home in Roseville with a detached 2 car garage. 2 living rooms with a large dining room, kitchen and full size bathroom make up the first floor. Upstairs there are 3 large bedrooms and another full bathroom. Nice level lot with a ibg front porch and a large deck in the back with mature trees. Call your Realtor for your viewing.
-
2025-11-07price $85,000 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Large 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home in Roseville with a detached 2 car garage. 2 living rooms with a large dining room, kitchen and full size bathroom make up the first floor. Upstairs there are 3 large bedrooms and another full bathroom. Nice level lot with a ibg front porch and a large deck in the back with mature trees. Call your Realtor for your viewing.
-
2025-09-24$90,000 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Large 3 bedroom 2 bath brick home in Roseville with a detached 2 car garage. 2 living rooms with a large dining room, kitchen and full size bathroom make up the first floor. Upstairs there are 3 large bedrooms and another full bathroom. Nice level lot with a ibg front porch and a large deck in the back with mature trees. Call your Realtor for your viewing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $897 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $994 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$98/yr (+$8/mo · 10.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,982
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$897
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,221
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,493
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904884
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,134
- Composite
- 43.55/100
- National rank
- #2982
- State rank
- #428 of 656 in OH
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #816
- US rank
- #15101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, OH
- County
- Muskingum · 86,793 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,435
- Household income
- $52,886
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.0
Population outlook (Muskingum County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,625 people
- By 2030
- 84,592 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 81,288 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 76,751 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 64,143 · -25.1%
- By 2100
- 47,598 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Muskingum
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Current HPI
- 267.0752
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-22.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $70,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $75,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $80,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $85,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-24 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $897 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…