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124 E 7th St
A- Composite 84.77
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$44,900

124 E 7th St · Roxana, IL 62084
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 868 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1930 4,800 sqft lot $52/sqft · 43% below area Est $78k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable home! The main level features 1 bedroom plus a non-conforming second bedroom (no closet), ideal for a home office, guest space, or flex room, complete with a convenient washer hookup. Inside, you’ll find a comfortable living room, dining room, updated bathroom, and a welcoming foyer that leads to a sun porch—ideal for relaxing or enjoying your morning coffee. Step outside to a fully fenced yard with a storage shed and newer carport, offering space for pets, gardening, or outdoor entertaining. Plenty of room for storage in the unfinished basement. Major updates provide peace of mind, including siding, gutters, and soffit/fascia (2017), roof (2018), A/C (20

Key facts

  • Sun porch
  • Newer carport
  • Storage shed

Tags

NON-CONFORMING SECOND BEDROOMWASHER HOOKUPSUN PORCHFULLY FENCED YARDSTORAGE SHEDNEWER CARPORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Has carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Ameren electric; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; Wood fence; Back yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range, Refrigerator; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($739 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#817 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Roxana CUSD 1 (suburban): math 18% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #440 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Roxana Sr High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #511 of 693 statewide, top 75%, 515 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $45k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,553 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
14.39%
Cash-on-cash
28.90%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,405
List price
$44,900
Delta
-42.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 E 6th St 0.06mi 2/1.0 925 (+7%) 20mo $84,900 $92 69
142 E 3rd St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 952 (+10%) 7mo $135,000 $142 60
121 E 1st St 0.32mi 2/1.0 930 (+7%) 20mo $110,000 $118 56
644 S 9th St 0.70mi 2/1.0 912 (+5%) 17mo $114,900 $126 45
300 Clark St 0.73mi 2/1.0 816 (-6%) 14mo $82,000 $100 44
215 Rohm Pl 0.66mi 2/1.0 816 (-6%) 22mo $119,900 $147 41
330 W Thomas St 0.70mi 2/1.0 974 (+12%) 10mo $124,900 $128 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.2%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$43,733
Equity at exit
$40,449
10-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
10.04×
Total profit
$113,605
Equity at exit
$87,231

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62084

Home prices YoY
24.7%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$739 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $319/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$155
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $355
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
103 W 1st St Unit C Roxana, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 1d 1 0.33mi
111 S Central Ave Roxana, IL 1.0 1.0 600 $650 $1.08 1d 1 0.37mi
1905 Tyler Timmins Dr Unit 21 Wood River, IL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,100 $1.15 1d 1 1.32mi
1905 Tyler Timmins Dr Apt 19 Wood River, IL 2.0 1.5 1000 $950 $0.95 1d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $44,900 Pending 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $44,900 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-05-14
    price $49,900 851-char remark
  11. 2026-05-01
    listed $59,900 Active 851-char remark
  12. 2026-02-03
    price $69,900
  13. 2025-11-26
    listed $79,900 Active
  14. 2000-12-29
    soldstatus $22,000
  15. 1991-06-06
    soldstatus $18,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$319 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$669 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$350/yr (+$29/mo · 109.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,864
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$319
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$709
− Management
−$709
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$3,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$739
After-tax cash flow
$2,894/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roxana CUSD 1
NCES district ID
1735010
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$50,661
Composite
16.73/100
National rank
#9164
State rank
#440 of 620 in IL

Livability — Roxana

Score
62/100
State rank
#817
US rank
#16133

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roxana, IL
City population
1,660
Population (ZIP)
1,660

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Black 1% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.51%
Current HPI
209.6547
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $44,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 1991-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $18,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $319 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…