184 N Astor St · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1959
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $95k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.42%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,854
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 N Astor St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (0%) | 1mo | $95,100 | $91 | 100 |
| 92 N Ardmore St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-1%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $163 | 74 |
| 685 Northway Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-12%) | 4mo | $138,000 | $149 | 67 |
| 88 N Astor St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,199 (+15%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $90 | 67 |
| 483 Lynch Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-1%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $145 | 58 |
| 476 Thors St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-1%) | 15mo | $167,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 493 Emerson Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-2%) | 15mo | $149,000 | $146 | 52 |
| 494 Thors St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (-3%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $173 | 51 |
| 153 Russell St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 954 (-9%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $105 | 46 |
| 33 S Tasmania St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 7mo | $122,400 | $131 | 45 |
| 506 Emerson Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-14%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $150 | 43 |
| 196 Carr St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 915 (-12%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $180 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $7,835
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $36,860
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48342
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,920/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 N Sanford St Pontiac, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1467 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 90 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 51 S Francis St Unit 4 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 83 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,450 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 68 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 38 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,425 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 970 | $1,495 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 97 S Jessie St Unit 2 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,120 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4000 Winston Dr Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1032 | $515 | $0.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 750 Scottwood St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 957 Perry St Pontiac, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $1,099 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,590 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 97 Fairgrove St Apt 2 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2081 Oaknoll St Auburn Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 489 Central Ave Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,195 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-18status Pending 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
-
2026-03-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
-
2025-12-08historical Accepting Backup Offers 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
-
2025-12-08historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
-
2025-12-01$95,000 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
-
2025-12-01$95,000 Active
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!
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2014-03-06soldstatus $20,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
PRICED TO SELL "WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN FOR LESS", GREAT 3 BEDROOM RANCH HOME, OPEN LAYOUT, OVER 1000SQFT, FENCED REAR YARD AND CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN DISTRICT. GREAT INVESTMENT!
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2014-03-04soldstatus $20,000
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2014-02-17historical
-
2014-01-17$29,900
-
2014-01-07$29,900 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
PRICED TO SELL "WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN FOR LESS", GREAT 3 BEDROOM RANCH HOME, OPEN LAYOUT, OVER 1000SQFT, FENCED REAR YARD AND CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN DISTRICT. GREAT INVESTMENT!
-
2013-12-30historical
-
2013-12-30historical
-
2013-07-30$35,000
-
2013-07-30$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,920 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,920 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,920
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,290
- − Management
- −$1,290
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $3,068
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$736
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- City population
- 44,593
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,227
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.18%
- Current HPI
- 214.3258
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+171.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-08 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-08 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-01 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-01 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-03-06 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-03-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-01-17 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-01-07 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-12-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-12-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-07-30 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-07-30 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,920 · +48.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…