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184 N Astor St
B Composite 73.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

184 N Astor St · Pontiac, MI 48342
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,046 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1959 7,841 sqft lot Est $156k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1959

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $95k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
10.89%
Cash-on-cash
16.42%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,854
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
184 N Astor St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,046 (0%) 1mo $95,100 $91 100
92 N Ardmore St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-1%) 4mo $169,000 $163 74
685 Northway Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 925 (-12%) 4mo $138,000 $149 67
88 N Astor St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,199 (+15%) 1mo $108,000 $90 67
483 Lynch Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-1%) 8mo $150,000 $145 58
476 Thors St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-1%) 15mo $167,000 $162 54
493 Emerson Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-2%) 15mo $149,000 $146 52
494 Thors St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,010 (-3%) 12mo $175,000 $173 51
153 Russell St 0.64mi 3/1.0 954 (-9%) 11mo $100,000 $105 46
33 S Tasmania St 0.68mi 3/1.0 936 (-10%) 7mo $122,400 $131 45
506 Emerson Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 900 (-14%) 1mo $135,000 $150 43
196 Carr St 0.74mi 3/1.0 915 (-12%) 13mo $165,000 $180 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$7,835
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$36,860
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48342

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,920/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $883
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 N Sanford St Pontiac, MI 4.0 1.5 1467 $1,750 $1.19 43d 1 0.51mi
90 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 0.53mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 24d 1 0.55mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1118 $1,150 $1.03 43d 1 0.55mi
51 S Francis St Unit 4 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 43d 1 0.56mi
83 S Edith St Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 818 $1,450 $1.77 24d 1 0.57mi
68 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,395 $1.47 17d 1 0.61mi
38 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1174 $1,425 $1.21 43d 1 0.63mi
1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.5 970 $1,495 $1.54 24d 1 0.67mi
128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1155 $1,700 $1.47 17d 1 0.68mi
188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.80mi
97 S Jessie St Unit 2 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,120 $1.40 24d 1 0.86mi
672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 3d 1 0.95mi
4000 Winston Dr Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.5 1032 $515 $0.50 2d 1 1.02mi
750 Scottwood St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,395 $1.52 12d 1 1.10mi
49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,575 $1.31 24d 1 1.11mi
957 Perry St Pontiac, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0 835 $1,099 $1.32 43d 1 1.13mi
264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1478 $1,590 $1.08 43d 1 1.15mi
97 Fairgrove St Apt 2 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 4d 1 1.26mi
2081 Oaknoll St Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 860 $1,600 $1.86 43d 1 1.38mi
65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,175 $1.27 43d 1 1.46mi
489 Central Ave Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,195 $1.05 4d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 743-char remark
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

  2. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

  3. 2025-12-08
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 743-char remark
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

  4. 2025-12-08
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

  5. 2025-12-01
    listed $95,000 Active 743-char remark
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

  6. 2025-12-01
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (743 chars)

    Cozy 3-Bedroom Ranch in Pontiac – Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! Purchase Subject to Probate Approval Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch nestled in a quiet Pontiac neighborhood. This easy-living floor plan offers a bright and comfortable living room, a functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. The home sits on a spacious lot with plenty of backyard room for entertaining, play, or future improvements. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking to add a reliable property to their portfolio, this home offers affordability and convenience with tons of potential. Property is being sold subject to probate court approval. A great opportunity - don't miss out!

  7. 2014-03-06
    soldstatus $20,000 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    PRICED TO SELL "WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN FOR LESS", GREAT 3 BEDROOM RANCH HOME, OPEN LAYOUT, OVER 1000SQFT, FENCED REAR YARD AND CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN DISTRICT. GREAT INVESTMENT!

  8. 2014-03-04
    soldstatus $20,000
  9. 2014-02-17
    historical
  10. 2014-01-17
    listed $29,900
  11. 2014-01-07
    listed $29,900 185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (185 chars)

    PRICED TO SELL "WHY RENT WHEN YOU CAN OWN FOR LESS", GREAT 3 BEDROOM RANCH HOME, OPEN LAYOUT, OVER 1000SQFT, FENCED REAR YARD AND CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN DISTRICT. GREAT INVESTMENT!

  12. 2013-12-30
    historical
  13. 2013-12-30
    historical
  14. 2013-07-30
    listed $35,000
  15. 2013-07-30
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,920 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,920 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,128
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,920
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,290
− Management
−$1,290
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,068
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$736
After-tax cash flow
$3,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
City population
44,593
Population (ZIP)
17,227

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.18%
Current HPI
214.3258
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+171.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-08 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-06 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-03-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-02-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-01-17 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-01-07 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-07-30 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-30 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,920 · +48.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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