2008 Parkway Ct · Horseshoe Bend, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away in the peaceful setting of Horseshoe Bend, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort, functionality, and just the right amount of space to enjoy the outdoors. Situated on approximately 0.7 acres, the property provides a private feel while still being conveniently located near the Turkey Mountain Golf Course. Inside, you’ll appreciate the easy, convenient layout designed for everyday living. The sunroom is a standout feature perfect for enjoying views of the backyard year-round. Step outside to a fenced backyard, ideal for pets, play, or entertaining. The property also includes a one-car carport and a versatile outbuilding with two separate rooms that are great fo
Key facts
- Private feel
- Sunroom
- Horseshoe bend
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing available: FHA, Conventional, Cash, In-house financing
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric service via co-op; Propane/Butane gas
- Home design: Other exterior (see remarks); Approximately 0.7 acres
- Construction: Crawl space foundation; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Partially fenced yard; Outside storage area; Located on a paved road; Level, cleared, rural property; Close to a golf course
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 6.2% in Horseshoe Bend — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#183 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Salem School District (rural): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 238 in AR (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Salem Elementary School (math 59% / reading 54%, grade C+, #57 of 454 statewide, top 13%, 451 students, 66% FRL); Salem High School (math 48% / reading 55%, grade D+, #13 of 292 statewide, top 4%, 425 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 441 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.39%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,940
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- 32.06%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 Parkway Ct | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,175 (0%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $89 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,529
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $48
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72512
- Home prices YoY
- -8.3%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $192 | +0% $143 | +5% $95 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $32 | -5% $88 | +0% $143 | +5% $199 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $214 | -0.5pp $179 | base $143 | +0.5pp $107 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-04-29$139,900 New Listing 928-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,098
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,349
- − Management
- −$1,349
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$541
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$130
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathrooms, exterior siding, interior walls, and landscaping.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen appliances — Old and worn
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Dated and worn
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and needs repainting
- Major Interior walls — Peeling paint
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Up-to-date fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and value
- Both Trim landscaping — A well-maintained yard can increase the home's appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen appliances · Old and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered and needs repainting | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior walls · Peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and needs trimming | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $63,000–215,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Up-to-date fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value ↑
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Trim landscaping — A well-maintained yard can increase the home's appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem School District
- NCES district ID
- 0512090
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,918
- Composite
- 44.66/100
- National rank
- #2766
- State rank
- #10 of 238 in AR
Livability — Horseshoe Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #183
- US rank
- #14584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Horseshoe Bend, AR
- City population
- 2,458
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,458
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,739 people
- By 2030
- 11,330 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 10,483 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 9,717 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 8,351 · -28.9%
- By 2100
- 6,853 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.0% · R 80.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+33.1 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.58%
- Current HPI
- 184.0807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $139,900 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…