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1150 NE 191st St #38 🌊 Lakefront
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1150 NE 191st St #38 · Ojus, FL 33179
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 830 sqft · Condo public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1966 $549/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

great condominium in North Miami Beach, with fantastic view to real lake and pool, very bright and clean, 1 bed 1 bath close Aventura Mall, good public transportation. elevator,

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Direct lake views
  • High-impact windows

Tags

DIRECT LAKE VIEWSMODERN UPDATED KITCHENFULLY REMODELED BATHROOMSHIGH-IMPACT WINDOWSBRAND NEW POOLCLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered; Pets allowed with restrictions
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers amenities, common areas, hot water, insurance, grounds maintenance, parking, pool(s), roof, sewer, and trash; Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking, 1 space; Covered parking, 1 space; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Attached property; 3 stories; Entry on level 3; Lakefront with a view
  • Construction: Brick and block construction; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Furnished; Sitting area in primary; Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 8.7% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,218/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $143k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 4→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
12.01%
Cash-on-cash
20.41%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-9,934
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-5,005
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33179

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
572
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
Insurance
$75
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$549
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$676
Net cashflow
$430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,674
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$549 · $6,588/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,900 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-04-21
    listed $179,900 Active
  15. 2022-04-14
    soldstatus $143,000
  16. 2011-01-31
    soldstatus $33,000 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    great condominium in North Miami Beach, with fantastic view to real lake and pool, very bright and clean, 1 bed 1 bath close Aventura Mall, good public transportation. elevator,

  17. 2004-09-30
    soldstatus $107,000
  18. 2000-02-03
    soldstatus $45,000
  19. 1997-08-13
    soldstatus $38,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,418 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,493 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$75/yr (+$6/mo · 5.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥104°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,615
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,418
− Insurance
−$6,018
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,089
− Management
−$3,089
− HOA
−$6,588
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$3,102
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$745
After-tax cash flow
$4,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ojus

Score
83/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#1031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ojus, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
51,591
Household income
$65,211
Rent vs Own
43.3% rent · 56.7% own
Severe rent burden
3123.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -608.34%
Current HPI
328.1733
Rent YoY
▲ 0.22%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+367.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $179,900 MARMLS
  • 2022-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2011-01-31 Sold (MLS) $33,000 MARMLS
  • 2004-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,418 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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