110 Leisure Dr · Aberdeen, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated Seller, will review all offers! Located within the desirable Leisure Manor Estates, this well-maintained 1974 double-wide manufactured home offers 1,536 sq. ft. of comfortable living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The home features a blend of classic charm and modern updates, including updated vinyl windows that enhance natural light and energy efficiency. Inside, the floor plan offers a large and inviting living room, a formal dining area, and a functional kitchen with an additional eating space—ideal for casual meals and everyday living. Just off the kitchen is a convenient office/den nook, providing a flexible space for a desk, reading area, or hobby setup. A dedi
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Office den nook
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential - Manufactured Home; Structure type: Manufactured house; Style code: Manufactured double wide; Mobile home remains on site
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Leisure Manor Estates (manufactured home park); Park amenities include common area and recreational area; Park approved for sale; Pets allowed: see remarks; Land lease: $775/month
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water; Public sewer; Power service by GH PUD; Electric water heater; Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Northwest facing; Average condition; Make: PACFA, Model: 64/24T
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction materials; Torch down roof; Tie down foundation
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Utility room; Water heater located in utility area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $982 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.0% vs local median 4.1% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#73 in WA, #1,320 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
- Aberdeen School District (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #222 of 291 in WA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J M Weatherwax High School (916 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 98.98%
- DSCR
- 5.40
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,920
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 Carefree Cir | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 1mo | $82,000 | $61 | 86 |
| 513 Leisure Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 11mo | $58,000 | $40 | 85 |
| 58 Meander Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-2%) | 11mo | $95,000 | $68 | 82 |
| 600 Leisure Cir | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 19mo | $68,500 | $48 | 78 |
| 511 Leisure Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 10mo | $52,000 | $39 | 75 |
| 501 Leisure Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+10%) | 16mo | $58,000 | $37 | 67 |
| 312 W Farrell St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,566 (+9%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $147 | 58 |
| 400 W Farrell St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,566 (+9%) | 18mo | $280,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 120 W Huntley | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+8%) | 22mo | $290,000 | $186 | 51 |
| 1010 S Evans St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+12%) | 20mo | $380,000 | $235 | 51 |
| 1212 S Evans St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-10%) | 23mo | $304,784 | $235 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.86×
- Total profit
- $57,872
- Equity at exit
- $6,337
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.79×
- Total profit
- $140,360
- Equity at exit
- $3,675
Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98520
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$223
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$53 /mo · $638/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $982
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,011 | -5% $996 | +0% $982 | +5% $967 | +10% $952 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $854 | -5% $918 | +0% $982 | +5% $1,045 | +10% $1,109 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,003 | -0.5pp $992 | base $982 | +0.5pp $970 | +1.0pp $959 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,625
- Closing costs
- $1,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 W Curtis St Aberdeen, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1731 S Boone St Unit 303 Aberdeen, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 810 Dewitt Dr Unit 810 Cosmopolis, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $1,895 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 908 E 1st St Aberdeen, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1608 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 109 S Park St Apt 2 Aberdeen, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-04-22price $42,500
-
2026-04-16$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,370
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,381
- − Property taxes
- −$638
- − Insurance
- −$212
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$1,236
- Taxable income
- $11,804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,833
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aberdeen School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300030
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,896
- Composite
- 36.13/100
- National rank
- #9477
- State rank
- #222 of 291 in WA
Livability — Aberdeen
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #1320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aberdeen, WA
- County
- Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
- City population
- 24,888
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,888
- Household income
- $58,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 635.0
Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,443 people
- By 2030
- 63,255 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 56,466 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 50,516 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,296 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 31,142 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.75%
- Current HPI
- 207.7393
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.35%
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $42,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…