170 Gold · Orangeburg, SC 29118

$106,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,054 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1987 0.57 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Nice 3 bedroom 2 bathroom, ranch style home. Call for you a private showing

Key facts

• 0.57 acre lot
• Built 1987

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $106k).
• Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.2% in Orangeburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#324 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities D-.
• Zoned schools: Sheridan Elementary (math 8%, 486 students, 100% FRL); William J. Clark Middle (math 12%, 687 students, 100% FRL); Orangeburg Wilkinson High (math 22%, 1,073 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $67k; list at $106k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $106,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.25%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.28%
• DSCR: 1.95
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.55×
• Total profit: $16,327
• Equity at exit: $15,805

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.93×
• Total profit: $57,304
• Equity at exit: $9,165

Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29118

• Home prices YoY: -28.9%
• Active inventory: 164
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,507 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$556
• Tax from tax record: −$64 /mo · $767/yr
• Insurance: −$44
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$316
• Net cashflow: $526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $840

Max offer price $106,000

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $586	-5% $556	+0% $526	+5% $496	+10% $466
Rent	-10% $407	-5% $467	+0% $526	+5% $586	+10% $645
Rate	-1.0pp $580	-0.5pp $553	base $526	+0.5pp $499	+1.0pp $471

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $26,500
• Closing costs: $3,180
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2024-10-14
   status Pending
2. 2024-09-05
   historical
3. 2022-02-19
   historical
4. 2022-02-14
   listed $106,000 Active
5. 2021-09-16
   listed $106,000
6. 2009-07-28
   soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $767 · $64/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $767 · $64/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,081
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,938
• − Property taxes: −$767
• − Insurance: −$530
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,446
• − Management: −$1,446
• − Depreciation: −$3,084
• Taxable income: $4,869
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,169
• After-tax cash flow: $5,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Orangeburg

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #324
• US rank: #23942

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Orangeburg County · 15,135 people
• City population: 15,135
• Metro: Orangeburg, SC
• Population (ZIP): 15,135
• Household income: $64,167
• Rent vs Own: 35.6% rent · 64.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 253.0

Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 82,698 people
• By 2030: 78,615 · -4.9%
• By 2040: 69,308 · -16.2%
• By 2050: 60,629 · -26.7%
• By 2075: 42,678 · -48.4%
• By 2100: 28,136 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 63% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Two or more races 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -71.45%
• Current HPI: 176.0101
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Orangeburg, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+58.2% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2024-10-14 Pending — Charleston Trident MLS
• 2024-09-05 Listing Removed — Charleston Trident MLS
• 2022-02-19 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
• 2022-02-14 Listed $106,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2021-09-16 Listed $106,000 Charleston Trident MLS
• 2009-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $767 · +298.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.