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114 Poplar Ave
C- Composite 50.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

114 Poplar Ave · Hide-A-Way Lake, MS 39426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 63 Days on market
Built 2006 0.55 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

Key facts

  • Fenced in
  • Large front yard
  • Dead end street

Tags

DEAD END STREETQUIET ON THE OUTSKIRTSFENCED INLARGE BACK YARDLARGE FRONT YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.1% in Hide-A-Way Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pearl River County School District (rural): math 44% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #35 of 130 in MS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 326 units permitted in Pearl River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pearl River County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.34%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-9,073
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,416
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39426

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $110,000 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

  16. 2026-05-18
    price $110,000 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on .55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

  17. 2026-05-01
    price $115,000 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

  18. 2026-05-01
    price $115,000 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (325 chars)

    Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

  19. 2026-04-16
    listed $120,000 Active 325-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on .55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

  20. 2026-04-16
    listed $120,000 Active 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on .55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,630
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$27
After-tax cash flow
$1,673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pearl River County School District
NCES district ID
2803540
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$50,916
Composite
35.44/100
National rank
#4931
State rank
#35 of 130 in MS

Livability — Hide-A-Way Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,555

Population outlook (Pearl River County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,426 people
By 2030
51,663 · -3.3%
By 2040
47,611 · -10.9%
By 2050
43,286 · -19.0%
By 2075
32,859 · -38.5%
By 2100
22,476 · -57.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pearl River

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -60.4pp · 2024: -66.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.7 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+66.8 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+60.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.24%
Current HPI
158.3694
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $110,000 PRCBOR
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $110,000 MLSU
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $115,000 PRCBOR
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $120,000 MLSU
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $120,000 PRCBOR

Property tax history

-5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $151 · -18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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