114 Poplar Ave · Hide-A-Way Lake, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
Key facts
- Fenced in
- Large front yard
- Dead end street
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.1% in Hide-A-Way Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pearl River County School District (rural): math 44% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #35 of 130 in MS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 326 units permitted in Pearl River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pearl River County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.34%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-9,073
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,416
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39426
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-19price $110,000 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
-
2026-05-18price $110,000 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on .55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
-
2026-05-01price $115,000 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
-
2026-05-01price $115,000 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on . 55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
-
2026-04-16$120,000 Active 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on .55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
-
2026-04-16$120,000 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Welcome! Poplar Ave is a dead end street. Very quiet on the outskirts of town. Only a few short minutes to your local grocery store. 114 Poplar Ave is a 2006 3 bed 2 bath mobile home that sits on .55 acres. Home could use some small projects to make it your own style. Property is fenced in with a large back and front yard.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$112
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pearl River County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803540
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,916
- Composite
- 35.44/100
- National rank
- #4931
- State rank
- #35 of 130 in MS
Livability — Hide-A-Way Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,555
Population outlook (Pearl River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,426 people
- By 2030
- 51,663 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 47,611 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 43,286 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 32,859 · -38.5%
- By 2100
- 22,476 · -57.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pearl River
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -60.4pp · 2024: -66.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.7 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+66.8 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+60.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.24%
- Current HPI
- 158.3694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-8.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $110,000 PRCBOR
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $110,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $115,000 PRCBOR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $120,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-16 Listed $120,000 PRCBOR
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $151 · -18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…