32 E Harmony Ct · Saratoga Springs, UT
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$404,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Dual walk-in closets
- Fenceable backyard
- White cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: LEGACY FARMS
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Advantage Management); Monthly HOA fee of $170, includes insurance; Community clubhouse, playground, pool, snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 total parking spaces; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer connected; Culinary water and pressurized irrigation
- Home design: Townhouse, row-end; South-facing; Residential use
- Construction: Stucco and cement siding; Asphalt roof; Built/standing construction
- Exterior features: Double-pane windows; Sliding glass doors; Open patio; Curb and gutter; Sidewalks; Automatic full sprinkler system; Mountain view; Landscaping: full; Flat terrain
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Free-standing range/oven; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 2nd floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas central); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bathroom; Walk-in closet; Garbage disposal; Gas oven; Free-standing range/oven; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $405k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-652 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (28.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (38.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $248k (38.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Springside School (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #278 of 585 statewide, top 49%, 735 students, 12% FRL); Lake Mountain Middle (math 40% / reading 44%, grade D-, #58 of 138 statewide, top 43%, 1,412 students, 13% FRL); Westlake High (math 39% / reading 48%, grade F, #50 of 171 statewide, top 29%, 2,659 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1175 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$70k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.90%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $173,254
- Equity at exit
- $364,766
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $532,274
- Equity at exit
- $786,632
Cash invested: $113,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84045
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1175
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,482 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,123
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$169
- HOA
- −$170
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $-652
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $101,225
- Closing costs
- $12,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 E Wren Hill Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,095 | $0.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 138 E Crown Point Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $2,550 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 39 S Baker Spring Cv Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 485 Pony Express Pkwy Saratoga Springs, UT | 1.0–6.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1957 | $2,789 | $1.43 | 2d | 117 | 0.90mi |
| 251 N Riverside Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1587 | $2,250 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $170 · $2,040/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-03status $404,900 Under Contract 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $404,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $404,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $404,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $404,900
-
2026-05-06price $409,900
-
2026-04-24price $414,900
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2026-04-03price $416,900
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2026-02-18price $419,999
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2026-02-05$422,000 Active
-
2026-01-03historical
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2025-11-04price $425,000
-
2025-10-30$430,000 Active
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2022-05-17soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
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-
2022-05-17soldstatus
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-
2022-04-28status Under Contract 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
-
2022-04-26status Active 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
-
2022-04-23status Under Contract 31-char remark
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There are no remarks available.
-
2022-04-22price $469,000 31-char remark
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-
2022-04-12$469,900 Active 31-char remark
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ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,805 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,672 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- +$867/yr (+$72/mo · 48.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,681
- − Property taxes
- −$1,805
- − Insurance
- −$2,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,382
- − Management
- −$2,382
- − HOA
- −$2,040
- − Depreciation
- −$11,779
- Taxable loss
- −$15,315
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,676
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine District
- NCES district ID
- 4900030
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,595
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #3213
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in UT
Livability — Saratoga Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #7648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saratoga Springs, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 45,429
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,429
- Household income
- $130,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Scottish 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.09%
- Current HPI
- 298.0545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-13.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $404,900 WFRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $409,900 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $414,900 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $416,900 WFRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $419,999 WFRMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $422,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-01-03 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $425,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-10-30 Listed $430,000 WFRMLS
- 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-05-17 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2022-04-28 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2022-04-26 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2022-04-23 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2022-04-22 Price Changed $469,000 WFRMLS
- 2022-04-12 Listed $469,900 WFRMLS
Property tax history
+30.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,805 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…