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1013 Preston Trl Duplex
C Composite 58.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$345,000

1013 Preston Trl · Wolfforth, TX 79382
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,800 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 364 Days on market
Built 2022 6,720 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful, newer duplex located in Frenship School District! Highly desirable upscale residential and rental area offering the convenience of being adjacent to Preston Manor. Each side of the duplex boasts 3 big bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms and a 2 car garage. Don't miss your opportunity to own this beauty!

Key facts

  • 6,720 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2022

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $131/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).
  • Recommended offer: $304k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#43 in TX, #1,872 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 472 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,505/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 135% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $303,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.25%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$204,664
Equity at exit
$310,803
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$589,873
Equity at exit
$670,259

Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79382

Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
16.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,505 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$555 /mo · $6,657/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$736
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,174
Max offer price $345,000
Occupancy floor 88%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,505

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,250
Closing costs
$10,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $345,000 Active 364 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $345,000 Active 363 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $345,000 Active 362 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $345,000 Active 361 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $345,000 Active 358 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $345,000 Active 356 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $345,000 Active 355 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $345,000 Active 354 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $345,000 Active 353 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $345,000 Active 350 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $345,000 Active 349 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $345,000 Active 348 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $345,000 Active 347 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $345,000 Active 346 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $345,000 Active 345 DOM
  16. 2026-04-21
    status Active 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Beautiful, newer duplex located in Frenship School District! Highly desirable upscale residential and rental area offering the convenience of being adjacent to Preston Manor. Each side of the duplex boasts 3 big bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms and a 2 car garage. Don't miss your opportunity to own this beauty!

  17. 2026-04-13
    status Pending 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Beautiful, newer duplex located in Frenship School District! Highly desirable upscale residential and rental area offering the convenience of being adjacent to Preston Manor. Each side of the duplex boasts 3 big bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms and a 2 car garage. Don't miss your opportunity to own this beauty!

  18. 2025-06-06
    listed $345,000 Active 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Beautiful, newer duplex located in Frenship School District! Highly desirable upscale residential and rental area offering the convenience of being adjacent to Preston Manor. Each side of the duplex boasts 3 big bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms and a 2 car garage. Don't miss your opportunity to own this beauty!

  19. 2025-01-10
    price $373,000
  20. 2024-07-10
    price $370,000
  21. 2022-08-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,657 · $555/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,657 · $555/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,060
− Mortgage interest
−$19,325
− Property taxes
−$6,657
− Insurance
−$1,725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,365
− Management
−$3,365
− Depreciation
−$10,036
Taxable loss
−$2,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$579
After-tax cash flow
$3,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frenship ISD
NCES district ID
4819830
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,376
Composite
43.59/100
National rank
#2976
State rank
#162 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wolfforth

Score
80/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolfforth, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
10,512
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,512
Household income
$84,457
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
135.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 166.08%
Current HPI
561.4491
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted LARMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Pending LARMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $345,000 LARMLS
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $373,000 LARMLS
  • 2024-07-10 Price Changed $370,000 LARMLS
  • 2022-08-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+29.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,657 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…