🏷️ Likely Rental
37 7th St · Hillburn, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$575,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
"Great 2-unit investment opportunity" on a quiet dead-end street. 2 separate structures - with private entrances and small balconies, offering an independent setup. Rooms are generously sized, feature hardwood floors throughout, and have bright, airy windows for great sunlight. Includes nice small front & back yards for comfort & play. Home is ready to go - and just a few touch-ups could maximize its appeal and further increase the return! Income-generating property with literally no expenses and pure profit!! 2-Family - one cottage unit is fully occupied, currently rented at $1800/month, and the second bigger structure/unit is vacant with projected rent of approximately $3,000/month. Reach out now to secure this opportunity!
Key facts
- Private entrances
- Bright airy windows
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $575k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $285/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $575k).
- Recommended offer: $540k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,151 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Suffern Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #242 of 590 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,822/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 828% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($540k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $470k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.66%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,141,120
- List price
- $575,000
- Delta
- -49.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-56,740
- Equity at exit
- $85,734
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-2,154
- Equity at exit
- $49,715
Cash invested: $161,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10901
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 16.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,822 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,015
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$719 /mo · $8,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$240
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,223
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $5,822 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,911 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $2,911 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,822 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $143,750
- Closing costs
- $17,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $575,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $575,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $575,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $575,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $575,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $575,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $575,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $575,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $575,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $575,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $575,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $575,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $575,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-04-26price $575,000 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
"Great 2-unit investment opportunity" on a quiet dead-end street. 2 separate structures - with private entrances and small balconies, offering an independent setup. Rooms are generously sized, feature hardwood floors throughout, and have bright, airy windows for great sunlight. Includes nice small front & back yards for comfort & play. Home is ready to go - and just a few touch-ups could maximize its appeal and further increase the return! Income-generating property with literally no expenses and pure profit!! 2-Family - one cottage unit is fully occupied, currently rented at $1800/month, and the second bigger structure/unit is vacant with projected rent of approximately $3,000/month. Reach out now to secure this opportunity!
-
2026-04-12status Active 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
"Great 2-unit investment opportunity" on a quiet dead-end street. 2 separate structures - with private entrances and small balconies, offering an independent setup. Rooms are generously sized, feature hardwood floors throughout, and have bright, airy windows for great sunlight. Includes nice small front & back yards for comfort & play. Home is ready to go - and just a few touch-ups could maximize its appeal and further increase the return! Income-generating property with literally no expenses and pure profit!! 2-Family - one cottage unit is fully occupied, currently rented at $1800/month, and the second bigger structure/unit is vacant with projected rent of approximately $3,000/month. Reach out now to secure this opportunity!
-
2026-03-20$599,000 Active 753-char remark
Show marketing remark (753 chars)
"Great 2-unit investment opportunity" on a quiet dead-end street. 2 separate structures - with private entrances and small balconies, offering an independent setup. Rooms are generously sized, feature hardwood floors throughout, and have bright, airy windows for great sunlight. Includes nice small front & back yards for comfort & play. Home is ready to go - and just a few touch-ups could maximize its appeal and further increase the return! Income-generating property with literally no expenses and pure profit!! 2-Family - one cottage unit is fully occupied, currently rented at $1800/month, and the second bigger structure/unit is vacant with projected rent of approximately $3,000/month. Reach out now to secure this opportunity!
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2024-08-09historical $1,895
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2024-06-12historical $1,895
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2024-05-16price $1,895
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2024-05-15price $1,995
-
2024-05-13$1,950
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2024-04-25$1,950
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2024-03-30soldstatus $470,000 Closed 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Two building two family. Unit one updated heating system steam, updated floors in bedrooms and living room. Unit 2 has stove, gas base board heat, above garage. Garage can be rented also. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Attached,
-
2024-02-15status Pending 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Two building two family. Unit one updated heating system steam, updated floors in bedrooms and living room. Unit 2 has stove, gas base board heat, above garage. Garage can be rented also. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Attached,
-
2024-01-24$449,500 Active 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Two building two family. Unit one updated heating system steam, updated floors in bedrooms and living room. Unit 2 has stove, gas base board heat, above garage. Garage can be rented also. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,ParkingFeatures:1 Car Attached,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $69,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,209
- − Property taxes
- −$8,625
- − Insurance
- −$3,542
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,589
- − Management
- −$5,589
- − Depreciation
- −$16,727
- Taxable loss
- −$2,417
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$580
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires significant repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Significant damage and discoloration.
- Major Hardwood floors — Severe wear and tear.
- Major Interior walls — Peeling paint and signs of wear.
- Major Windows — Peeling paint and old appearance.
- Major HVAC units — Old and may require maintenance or replacement.
- Major Landscaping — Sparse and unkempt, with debris scattered around the property.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Resale Replace hardwood floors — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern.
- Resale Replace windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and property value.
- Rental Service HVAC units — Well-maintained HVAC units can attract tenants and reduce maintenance costs.
- Both Landscaping and debris removal — A well-maintained yard and clean property can attract both buyers and tenants, improving overall value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Significant damage and discoloration. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Hardwood floors · Severe wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Peeling paint and signs of wear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Peeling paint and old appearance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC units · Old and may require maintenance or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Sparse and unkempt, with debris scattered around the property. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Resale Replace hardwood floors — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern. ↑
- Resale Replace windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and property value. ↑
- Rental Service HVAC units — Well-maintained HVAC units can attract tenants and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
- Both Landscaping and debris removal — A well-maintained yard and clean property can attract both buyers and tenants, improving overall value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffern Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628320
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,871
- Composite
- 51.17/100
- National rank
- #1758
- State rank
- #242 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hillburn
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1151
- US rank
- #24032
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hillburn, NY
- County
- Rockland County · 98,828 people
- City population
- 1,170
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,095
- Household income
- $108,041
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 828.0
Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 339,642 people
- By 2030
- 345,987 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 357,178 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 362,456 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 367,281 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 328,211 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockland
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -582.29%
- Current HPI
- 282.4798
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+27.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $575,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listed $599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-09 Rental Removed $1,895 ONEKEY
- 2024-06-12 Rental Removed $1,895 ONEKEY
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $1,895 ONEKEY
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $1,995 ONEKEY
- 2024-05-13 Listed for Rent $1,950 ONEKEY
- 2024-04-25 Listed for Rent $1,950 ONEKEY
- 2024-03-30 Sold (MLS) $470,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-15 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-24 Listed $449,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…