11225 Rabun Gap Dr NW · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a Short Sale subject to existing lender's approval which could result in delays. This is a very spacious floorplan, with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 2 car garage. The home has an oversized lot with an extra driveway for parking. Surrounded by nice homes on a quiet neighborhood in Timberbend subdivision, close to I-75, great location. Don't miss the opportunity to own this home, call today for an appointment. This is a SHORT SALE, subject to lender's approval and may have time constraints. This property is sold AS IS with right to inspect.
Key facts
- Potential patio area
- Spacious lot
- City water
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Non-gated community; Association covers cable TV, road maintenance, trash and water; association fee listed as $0
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1; Faces southeast; Resale property
- Construction: Block and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Built on foundation
- Exterior features: Fence; Fruit trees; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop
- Bedrooms: Den
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Single-hung windows with shutters; Wheelchair access; Built-in features; Bedroom on main level; Separate/formal dining room; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Pantry; Shower only (separate shower); Walk-in closets; Split bedrooms; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($754/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $364k (14.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $364k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sunshine Elementary School (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,491 of 2,144 statewide, top 70%, 1,301 students, 74% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,637/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $117k; list at $425k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.63%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $577,254
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11183 Rabun Gap Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,970 (-9%) | 15mo | $550,000 | $279 | 65 |
| 18101 Palm Creek Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,101 (-3%) | 7mo | $562,000 | $267 | 54 |
| 17588 Saddleback Loop | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,032 (-6%) | 10mo | $389,000 | $191 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-66,238
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-58,112
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 846
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,637 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$405 /mo · $4,859/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$764
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $303 | -5% $183 | +0% $63 | +5% $-57 | +10% $-178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-225 | -5% $-81 | +0% $63 | +5% $207 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $171 | base $63 | +0.5pp $-47 | +1.0pp $-159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3111 Cottonwood Bnd #1704 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1833 | $3,000 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3181 Cottonwood Bnd #901 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1821 | $5,500 | $3.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $425,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $425,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $425,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $425,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2025-11-03$425,000 Active
-
2011-01-04soldstatus $117,000
-
2010-12-03price $124,900 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
This is a Short Sale subject to existing lender's approval which could result in delays. This is a very spacious floorplan, with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 2 car garage. The home has an oversized lot with an extra driveway for parking. Surrounded by nice homes on a quiet neighborhood in Timberbend subdivision, close to I-75, great location. Don't miss the opportunity to own this home, call today for an appointment. This is a SHORT SALE, subject to lender's approval and may have time constraints. This property is sold AS IS with right to inspect.
-
2010-11-29soldstatus $117,000 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
This is a Short Sale subject to existing lender's approval which could result in delays. This is a very spacious floorplan, with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 2 car garage. The home has an oversized lot with an extra driveway for parking. Surrounded by nice homes on a quiet neighborhood in Timberbend subdivision, close to I-75, great location. Don't miss the opportunity to own this home, call today for an appointment. This is a SHORT SALE, subject to lender's approval and may have time constraints. This property is sold AS IS with right to inspect.
-
2005-09-22soldstatus $270,000
-
2005-09-18soldstatus $270,000 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Really Nice & Hard To Find 4 Bedroom On Oversized Lot, Hardwood Floors, Ceramic Tile, Stainless Appliances, Vaulted Ceilings, Split Plan And Beautiful Well Cared Deed Restricted Neighborhood. Easy Access To I75, And A Great Price * Don't Let This One Slip Away
-
2005-08-30price $279,900 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
Really Nice & Hard To Find 4 Bedroom On Oversized Lot, Hardwood Floors, Ceramic Tile, Stainless Appliances, Vaulted Ceilings, Split Plan And Beautiful Well Cared Deed Restricted Neighborhood. Easy Access To I75, And A Great Price * Don't Let This One Slip Away
-
2002-10-30soldstatus $137,000
-
1999-01-19soldstatus $104,000
-
1995-07-11soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,859 · $405/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,859 · $405/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$4,859
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,492
- − Management
- −$3,492
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable loss
- −$6,489
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+325.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-03 Listed $425,000 FORTMLS
- 2011-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-03 Price Changed $124,900 FORTMLS
- 2010-11-29 Sold (MLS) $117,000 FORTMLS
- 2005-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-18 Sold (MLS) $270,000 FORTMLS
- 2005-08-30 Price Changed $279,900 FORTMLS
- 2002-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 1995-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,859 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…