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11225 Rabun Gap Dr NW
C- Composite 50.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$425,000

11225 Rabun Gap Dr NW · North Fort Myers, FL 33917
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,162 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 230 Days on market
Built 1989 0.35 ac lot Est $577k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a Short Sale subject to existing lender's approval which could result in delays. This is a very spacious floorplan, with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 2 car garage. The home has an oversized lot with an extra driveway for parking. Surrounded by nice homes on a quiet neighborhood in Timberbend subdivision, close to I-75, great location. Don't miss the opportunity to own this home, call today for an appointment. This is a SHORT SALE, subject to lender's approval and may have time constraints. This property is sold AS IS with right to inspect.

Key facts

  • Potential patio area
  • Spacious lot
  • City water

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTAMPLE SPACEPOTENTIAL PATIO AREACITY WATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; Association covers cable TV, road maintenance, trash and water; association fee listed as $0

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1; Faces southeast; Resale property
  • Construction: Block and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Built on foundation
  • Exterior features: Fence; Fruit trees; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Den
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Single-hung windows with shutters; Wheelchair access; Built-in features; Bedroom on main level; Separate/formal dining room; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Pantry; Shower only (separate shower); Walk-in closets; Split bedrooms; Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($754/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $364k (14.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $364k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sunshine Elementary School (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,491 of 2,144 statewide, top 70%, 1,301 students, 74% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,637/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $117k; list at $425k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $363,742 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$577,254
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11183 Rabun Gap Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,970 (-9%) 15mo $550,000 $279 65
18101 Palm Creek Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,101 (-3%) 7mo $562,000 $267 54
17588 Saddleback Loop 0.71mi 4/3.0 2,032 (-6%) 10mo $389,000 $191 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-66,238
Equity at exit
$63,369
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-58,112
Equity at exit
$36,746

Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,637 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,229
Tax from tax record
$405 /mo · $4,859/yr
Insurance
$177
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$764
Net cashflow
$63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,558
Max offer price $425,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $303 -5% $183 +0% $63 +5% $-57 +10% $-178
Rent -10% $-225 -5% $-81 +0% $63 +5% $207 +10% $350
Rate -1.0pp $277 -0.5pp $171 base $63 +0.5pp $-47 +1.0pp $-159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$106,250
Closing costs
$12,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3111 Cottonwood Bnd #1704 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1833 $3,000 $1.64 25d 1 1.47mi
3181 Cottonwood Bnd #901 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1821 $5,500 $3.02 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $425,000 Active 230 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $425,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $425,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $425,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $425,000 Active 222 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $425,000 Active 218 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $425,000 Active 216 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $425,000 Active 211 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $425,000 Active 210 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $425,000 Active 209 DOM
  11. 2025-11-03
    listed $425,000 Active
  12. 2011-01-04
    soldstatus $117,000
  13. 2010-12-03
    price $124,900 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    This is a Short Sale subject to existing lender's approval which could result in delays. This is a very spacious floorplan, with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 2 car garage. The home has an oversized lot with an extra driveway for parking. Surrounded by nice homes on a quiet neighborhood in Timberbend subdivision, close to I-75, great location. Don't miss the opportunity to own this home, call today for an appointment. This is a SHORT SALE, subject to lender's approval and may have time constraints. This property is sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  14. 2010-11-29
    soldstatus $117,000 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    This is a Short Sale subject to existing lender's approval which could result in delays. This is a very spacious floorplan, with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths and a 2 car garage. The home has an oversized lot with an extra driveway for parking. Surrounded by nice homes on a quiet neighborhood in Timberbend subdivision, close to I-75, great location. Don't miss the opportunity to own this home, call today for an appointment. This is a SHORT SALE, subject to lender's approval and may have time constraints. This property is sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  15. 2005-09-22
    soldstatus $270,000
  16. 2005-09-18
    soldstatus $270,000 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Really Nice & Hard To Find 4 Bedroom On Oversized Lot, Hardwood Floors, Ceramic Tile, Stainless Appliances, Vaulted Ceilings, Split Plan And Beautiful Well Cared Deed Restricted Neighborhood. Easy Access To I75, And A Great Price * Don't Let This One Slip Away

  17. 2005-08-30
    price $279,900 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    Really Nice & Hard To Find 4 Bedroom On Oversized Lot, Hardwood Floors, Ceramic Tile, Stainless Appliances, Vaulted Ceilings, Split Plan And Beautiful Well Cared Deed Restricted Neighborhood. Easy Access To I75, And A Great Price * Don't Let This One Slip Away

  18. 2002-10-30
    soldstatus $137,000
  19. 1999-01-19
    soldstatus $104,000
  20. 1995-07-11
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,859 · $405/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,859 · $405/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,649
− Mortgage interest
−$23,807
− Property taxes
−$4,859
− Insurance
−$2,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,492
− Management
−$3,492
− Depreciation
−$12,364
Taxable loss
−$6,489
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,557
After-tax cash flow
$2,311/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+325.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $425,000 FORTMLS
  • 2011-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-03 Price Changed $124,900 FORTMLS
  • 2010-11-29 Sold (MLS) $117,000 FORTMLS
  • 2005-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2005-09-18 Sold (MLS) $270,000 FORTMLS
  • 2005-08-30 Price Changed $279,900 FORTMLS
  • 2002-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
  • 1999-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 1995-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,859 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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