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2 State St
A Composite 85.11
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$111,000

2 State St · Potsdam, NY 13676
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $211k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This large 5-6 bedroom home is currently used for student housing, generating $35-38,000 a year in income. Want a large home instead? Do nothing to turn it back into a single family style home! The kitchen is enormous, and the house has a large double living room as well as a formal dining room area. There is one large bedroom on the first floor. On the second floor there are 4-5 bedrooms- one with a another bedroom as you pass through the first and two full bathrooms. There are three seperate staircases leading to the second floor. This home has many features of a Victorian home- high ceilings, lovely woodwork, wide staircases.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax amount listed but excluded per instructions
  • Financial info: No investor or income/expense details listed
  • HOA & community: No HOA information listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking; Shared driveway
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential property; 2-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot dimensions: 58 X

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air; Natural gas available
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $111k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $111k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.9% in Potsdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in NY, #3,908 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Potsdam Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #258 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($767 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $111,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
13.98%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10 Hamilton St 0.22mi 4/1.5 2,246 (-13%) 4mo $150,000 $67 65
86 Elm St 0.37mi 4/2.0 2,584 (+0%) 23mo $280,000 $108 61
17 Pleasant St 0.49mi 4/2.0 2,490 (-3%) 10mo $196,000 $79 61
15 State St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,750 (+7%) 22mo $175,000 $64 60
69 Elm St 0.22mi 4/2.5 2,899 (+12%) 6mo $238,000 $82 60
5 Grant St 0.34mi 4/2.0 2,936 (+14%) 7mo $245,000 $83 53
19 Lawrence Ave 0.38mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,800 (+9%) 12mo $227,000 $81 50
26 Lawrence Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,356 (-8%) 21mo $194,000 $82 46
15 Leroy St 0.36mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,456 (-5%) 23mo $253,000 $103 45
18 Broad St 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,228 (-14%) 12mo $147,000 $66 44
27 Chestnut St 0.32mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,844 (+10%) 19mo $315,000 $111 43
86 Market St 0.61mi 4/2.0 2,205 (-14%) 11mo $150,520 $68 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$83,533
Equity at exit
$99,998
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
8.33×
Total profit
$227,901
Equity at exit
$215,649

Cash invested: $31,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13676

Home prices YoY
17.7%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$582
Tax est. 1.5%
$139 /mo · $1,665/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $971
Max offer price $111,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $439 -5% $400 +0% $362 +5% $324 +10% $285
Rent -10% $249 -5% $306 +0% $362 +5% $418 +10% $475
Rate -1.0pp $418 -0.5pp $390 base $362 +0.5pp $333 +1.0pp $304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,750
Closing costs
$3,330
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $111,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $111,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $111,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,151
− Mortgage interest
−$6,218
− Property taxes
−$1,665
− Insurance
−$555
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$3,229
Taxable income
$2,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$658
After-tax cash flow
$3,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Potsdam Central School District
NCES district ID
3623670
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$44,144
Composite
50.05/100
National rank
#1915
State rank
#258 of 590 in NY

Livability — Potsdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#249
US rank
#3908

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Potsdam, NY
City population
2,123
Population (ZIP)
13,408

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 48.01%
Current HPI
318.7704
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $111,000 SLCMLS
  • 2021-07-27 Sold (MLS) $100,000 SLCMLS
  • 2019-03-27 Listed $109,900 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,698 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…