2 State St · Potsdam, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$111,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This large 5-6 bedroom home is currently used for student housing, generating $35-38,000 a year in income. Want a large home instead? Do nothing to turn it back into a single family style home! The kitchen is enormous, and the house has a large double living room as well as a formal dining room area. There is one large bedroom on the first floor. On the second floor there are 4-5 bedrooms- one with a another bedroom as you pass through the first and two full bathrooms. There are three seperate staircases leading to the second floor. This home has many features of a Victorian home- high ceilings, lovely woodwork, wide staircases.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount listed but excluded per instructions
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details listed
- HOA & community: No HOA information listed
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; Shared driveway
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential property; 2-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot dimensions: 58 X
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air; Natural gas available
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; 10 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $111k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $111k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.9% in Potsdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in NY, #3,908 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Potsdam Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #258 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($767 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.98%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,232
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Hamilton St | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 | 2,246 (-13%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $67 | 65 |
| 86 Elm St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,584 (+0%) | 23mo | $280,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 17 Pleasant St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,490 (-3%) | 10mo | $196,000 | $79 | 61 |
| 15 State St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,750 (+7%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $64 | 60 |
| 69 Elm St | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,899 (+12%) | 6mo | $238,000 | $82 | 60 |
| 5 Grant St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,936 (+14%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 19 Lawrence Ave | 0.38mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,800 (+9%) | 12mo | $227,000 | $81 | 50 |
| 26 Lawrence Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,356 (-8%) | 21mo | $194,000 | $82 | 46 |
| 15 Leroy St | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,456 (-5%) | 23mo | $253,000 | $103 | 45 |
| 18 Broad St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,228 (-14%) | 12mo | $147,000 | $66 | 44 |
| 27 Chestnut St | 0.32mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,844 (+10%) | 19mo | $315,000 | $111 | 43 |
| 86 Market St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,205 (-14%) | 11mo | $150,520 | $68 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $83,533
- Equity at exit
- $99,998
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.33×
- Total profit
- $227,901
- Equity at exit
- $215,649
Cash invested: $31,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13676
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$582
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$139 /mo · $1,665/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $400 | +0% $362 | +5% $324 | +10% $285 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $306 | +0% $362 | +5% $418 | +10% $475 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $418 | -0.5pp $390 | base $362 | +0.5pp $333 | +1.0pp $304 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,750
- Closing costs
- $3,330
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $111,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $111,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$111,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,218
- − Property taxes
- −$1,665
- − Insurance
- −$555
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$3,229
- Taxable income
- $2,740
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$658
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Potsdam Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623670
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,144
- Composite
- 50.05/100
- National rank
- #1915
- State rank
- #258 of 590 in NY
Livability — Potsdam
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #249
- US rank
- #3908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Potsdam, NY
- City population
- 2,123
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,408
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 48.01%
- Current HPI
- 318.7704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+1.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $111,000 SLCMLS
- 2021-07-27 Sold (MLS) $100,000 SLCMLS
- 2019-03-27 Listed $109,900 SLCMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,698 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…