Triplex
696 Grafton St · Worcester, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$599,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Attention investors! Take a look at 696 Grafton Street, a versatile and high-potential three-family home situated in one of Worcester’s most accessible commuter corridors. Whether you are a savvy investor looking to capture steady rental income or a handy homeowner looking to build equity, this property delivers function, flexibility, and long-term value. The layout accommodates a variety of living arrangements and is built for low-overhead management, featuring separate electrical meters and separate heating systems for each unit. Updates include a recently updated first-floor furnace (floors two and three utilize parlor heaters), while bonus exterior features include an outdoor stor
Key facts
- Outdoor storage shed
- Three-family home
- 5,312 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Near public transportation and shopping; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 3 off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: 3-family property; 3 stories; Approximate year built (per public records); Tan exterior color
- Construction: Stone foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Public road frontage; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Flooring: Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Living room; Kitchen; Total of 15 rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $963 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $321/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $600k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D.
- Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,280/mo this rent would consume 103% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2232% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.88%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $698,886
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178 Cohasset St | 0.36mi | 6/3.0 (-1) | 2,650 (-7%) | 8mo | $685,000 | $258 | 60 |
| 165 Ingleside Ave | 0.59mi | 6/3.0 (-1) | 2,886 (+2%) | 8mo | $710,000 | $246 | 58 |
| 13 Superior Rd | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 (-1) | 2,600 (-8%) | 21mo | $615,000 | $237 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-41,096
- Equity at exit
- $89,447
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $22,188
- Equity at exit
- $51,868
Cash invested: $167,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01604
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 23.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,280 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,146
- Tax from tax record
- −$603 /mo · $7,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,319
- Net cashflow
- $963
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,302 | -5% $1,132 | +0% $963 | +5% $793 | +10% $623 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $467 | -5% $715 | +0% $963 | +5% $1,211 | +10% $1,459 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,265 | -0.5pp $1,115 | base $963 | +0.5pp $807 | +1.0pp $649 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1.3 | $6,279 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.3 | $2,093 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.3 | $2,093 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.3 | $2,093 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,280 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,975
- Closing costs
- $17,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $599,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $599,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $599,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $599,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-14$599,900 New 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,232 · $603/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,305 · $609/mo
- Expected delta
- +$73/yr (+$6/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $75,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,604
- − Property taxes
- −$7,232
- − Insurance
- −$3,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,029
- − Management
- −$6,029
- − Depreciation
- −$17,452
- Taxable income
- $2,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$484
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Worcester
- NCES district ID
- 2513230
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,063
- Composite
- 20.3/100
- National rank
- #8615
- State rank
- #280 of 302 in MA
Livability — Worcester
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Worcester, MA
- County
- Worcester County · 487,911 people
- City population
- 207,324
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,812
- Household income
- $73,505
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2232.0
Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 850,858 people
- By 2030
- 860,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 869,902 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 869,110 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 870,120 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 829,703 · -2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Estonian 6% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 10% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Worcester
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.38%
- Current HPI
- 295.03
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Worcester, MA-CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
|
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $599,900 MLS PIN
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2023): $7,232 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…