8400 Aberdeen Rd · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2 bedroom home located on a corner lot can easily be converted back to its original 3 bedroom layout (the renovation created an expansion primary suite). This property features a single car garage, plus 2-3 car driveway providing ample off street parking, an enclosed sunroom for relaxation, custom iron gates, and custom made interior windows with shutters. The stylish, functional and timeless character creates a perfect setting for hosting and everyday enjoyment. Easy access to I-10, Flood Zone X, Nearby Lake Castle Private School.
Key facts
- Enclosed sunroom
- Flood zone x
- Custom iron gates
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,179/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2030% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.59%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,940
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -12.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7600 Burke Rd | 0.40mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,066 (-2%) | 4mo | $266,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 8455 Huntington Park Dr | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,208 (+5%) | 4mo | $264,999 | $120 | 64 |
| 7111 Thornley Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,315 (+10%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 7701 Wales St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,975 (-6%) | 2mo | $176,500 | $89 | 56 |
| 7509 Ligustrum Dr | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,069 (-2%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 7540 Fieldston Rd | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,028 (-4%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $113 | 52 |
| 7143 Mayo Blvd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,216 (+5%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 7340 Mayo Blvd | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,071 (-2%) | 21mo | $215,000 | $104 | 47 |
| 7100 Neptune Ct | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,200 (+4%) | 14mo | $274,600 | $125 | 46 |
| 7943 Burke. Rd | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,226 (+6%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $106 | 45 |
| 6906 Lake Willow Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,384 (+13%) | 3mo | $267,000 | $112 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-21,177
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-719
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70127
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,179 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,692/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7063 Boston Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,900 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7500 Symmes Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-05$215,000 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
This charming 2 bedroom home located on a corner lot can easily be converted back to its original 3 bedroom layout (the renovation created an expansion primary suite). This property features a single car garage, plus 2-3 car driveway providing ample off street parking, an enclosed sunroom for relaxation, custom iron gates, and custom made interior windows with shutters. The stylish, functional and timeless character creates a perfect setting for hosting and everyday enjoyment. Easy access to I-10, Flood Zone X, Nearby Lake Castle Private School.
-
2026-04-03$215,000 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
This charming 2 bedroom home located on a corner lot can easily be converted back to its original 3 bedroom layout (the renovation created an expansion primary suite). This property features a single car garage, plus 2-3 car driveway providing ample off street parking, an enclosed sunroom for relaxation, custom iron gates, and custom made interior windows with shutters. The stylish, functional and timeless character creates a perfect setting for hosting and everyday enjoyment. Easy access to I-10, Flood Zone X, Nearby Lake Castle Private School.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,692 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,692 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,692
- − Insurance
- −$1,872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,092
- − Management
- −$2,092
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$895
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$215
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,107
- Household income
- $40,765
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2030.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 175.4465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-05 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $215,000 GSREIN
Property tax history
+20.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,692 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…