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2453 Reel St
B Composite 73.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,000

2453 Reel St · Harrisburg, PA 17110
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,250 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1910 1,742 sqft lot Est $169k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick home offering generous living space throughout. This home features large bedrooms, a roomy kitchen with plenty of space for cooking and dining, and a practical layout for everyday living. A detached garage is located at the rear of the property, with a small, manageable yard.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Rear-entry detached garage (1 garage space); On-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached structure; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Year built information sourced from assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas hot water and heating fuel
  • Interior features: Basement present (described as Other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $982 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $142k implies a 331% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.43%
Cash-on-cash
18.36%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2249 N 6th St 0.24mi 5/1.0 2,210 (-2%) 0mo $110,000 $50 86
2332 N 6th St 0.13mi 5/1.0 2,192 (-3%) 6mo $125,000 $57 84
540 Schuylkill St 0.05mi 5/1.0 2,046 (-9%) 1mo $125,000 $61 82
544 Schuylkill St 0.05mi 5/1.0 2,018 (-10%) 1mo $125,000 $62 80
2322 N 6th St 0.16mi 5/2.0 2,392 (+6%) 11mo $90,000 $38 69
243 Emerald St 0.35mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,182 (-3%) 8mo $106,000 $49 67
518 Emerald St 0.19mi 5/1.5 1,946 (-14%) 4mo $145,000 $75 63
224 Seneca St 0.35mi 5/1.5 2,076 (-8%) 8mo $164,900 $79 63
2008 Green St 0.62mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,124 (-6%) 1mo $295,000 $139 50
2010 Green St 0.61mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,124 (-6%) 6mo $206,000 $97 50
2032 N 5th St 0.46mi 5/2.0 1,968 (-12%) 7mo $159,900 $81 48
1843 Susquehanna St 0.70mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (-11%) 11mo $215,000 $108 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$12,886
Equity at exit
$21,173
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$49,786
Equity at exit
$12,278

Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17110

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,985 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$745
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,878/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $142,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $689 -5% $648 +0% $608 +5% $568 +10% $528
Rent -10% $451 -5% $530 +0% $608 +5% $687 +10% $765
Rate -1.0pp $680 -0.5pp $644 base $608 +0.5pp $571 +1.0pp $534

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,500
Closing costs
$4,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 14d 1 0.33mi
2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,750 $0.98 14d 1 0.36mi
2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 44d 1 0.49mi
2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,595 $1.00 44d 1 0.56mi
3015 N 5th St Harrisburg, PA 6.0 2.5 3356 $2,795 $0.83 14d 1 0.71mi
1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1792 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 0.71mi
1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA 4.0 4.0 2400 $2,000 $0.83 24d 1 0.74mi
1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 3.5 2400 $2,200 $0.92 44d 1 0.74mi
1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 2280 $1,895 $0.83 24d 1 1.11mi
1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,495 $0.88 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 311-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $142,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,878 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,061 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$183/yr (+$15/mo · 9.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,825
− Mortgage interest
−$7,954
− Property taxes
−$1,878
− Insurance
−$710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,906
− Management
−$1,906
− Depreciation
−$4,131
Taxable income
$5,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$6,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,364
Household income
$80,699
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1037.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.07%
Current HPI
257.826
Rent YoY
▲ 1.55%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+331.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $142,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-31 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-22 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 1999-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $32,930 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,878 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…