🏗️ New Construction
1722 Primrose Pointe Dr · Crosby, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living, ideal for modern lifestyles. Two bedrooms are located near the front of the home surrounding a full bathroom, adjacent to a spacious and flexible open-concept layout shared between the kitchen, living and dining areas. A luxurious owner's suite provides a serene retreat at the back of the home with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Single-story living
- Walk-in closet
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $196k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-246 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $196k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,121 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Crosby ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #369 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crosby Middle (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #786 of 1,662 statewide, top 48%, 1,549 students, 60% FRL); Crosby H S (math 44% / reading 45%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 1,937 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1723 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.62%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $291,220
- List price
- $195,990
- Delta
- -30.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1507 Gardenia Blossom Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (0%) | 3mo | $178,540 | $122 | 83 |
| 18614 Periwinkle Brook Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (0%) | 1mo | $193,990 | $133 | 81 |
| 1738 Primrose Pointe Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (+10%) | 3mo | $242,990 | $152 | 80 |
| 1518 Gardenia Grove Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+4%) | 2mo | $210,990 | $139 | 77 |
| 1547 Gardenia Grove Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-11%) | 2mo | $198,990 | $153 | 69 |
| 1535 Golden Iris Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (-10%) | 2mo | $188,990 | $144 | 66 |
| 1534 Gardenia Grove Ln | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-11%) | 3mo | $190,990 | $147 | 66 |
| 1514 Marigold Bend Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+8%) | 1mo | $232,990 | $148 | 66 |
| 1515 Golden Iris Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (-10%) | 3mo | $237,990 | $182 | 64 |
| 1558 Gardenia Blossom Ln | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (+13%) | 2mo | $207,990 | $126 | 57 |
| 1550 Gardenia Blossom Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (+13%) | 2mo | $211,990 | $128 | 56 |
| 18646 Periwinkle Brook Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (+13%) | 3mo | $210,990 | $127 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-66,093
- Equity at exit
- $43,422
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-90,622
- Equity at exit
- $25,179
Cash invested: $81,542 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 46 active · 65 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.6 mo (28%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $242,990 ($153/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 68 d
- This list price
- 4% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +30.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1723
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,143 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,527
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,179/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$192
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $-246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-81 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-246 | +5% $-328 | +10% $-411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-415 | -5% $-331 | +0% $-246 | +5% $-161 | +10% $-77 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-99 | -0.5pp $-172 | base $-246 | +0.5pp $-321 | +1.0pp $-398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,805
- Closing costs
- $8,737
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1519 Gardenia Grove Ln Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 120d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 17435 Jolly Boat Dr Crosby, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $1,695 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Association: Community SolutionsAnnual association fee of $2,300
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Residential propertyUnder construction (new construction)Slab foundationLiving area approximately 1,461Built by Lennar Homes (2026)
- Construction
- Brick, cement siding, and stone exteriorBuilt in 2026
- Exterior features
- Subdivision lotComposition roof
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric ovenElectric rangeGas ovenGas range
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12 x 15)Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (each approx. 12 x 10)Total of 5 rooms including dining and family areas
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric and gas)Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
- Interior features
- Kitchen/family room comboTub with shower
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-24days on market $195,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $195,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-09-22pricedays on market $195,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $200,990 Active 66 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $200,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $200,990 Active 64 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $200,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $200,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $200,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $200,990 Active 60 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $200,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $200,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $200,990 Active 57 DOM
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2026-09-11pricestatusdays on market $200,990 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-28statusdays on market $209,990 Pending 53 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $209,990 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $209,990 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $209,990 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $209,990 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $209,990 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $209,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $209,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $209,990 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $209,990 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-15pricedays on market $209,990 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $219,990 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $219,990 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $219,990 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $219,990 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $219,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-09pricedays on market $219,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $231,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $231,990 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $231,990 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $231,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $231,990 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $231,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $231,990 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $231,990 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $231,990 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $231,990 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $231,990 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $231,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $231,990 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-21remarks 626-char remark
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2026-06-21days on market $231,990 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $231,990 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $231,990 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $231,990 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $231,990 Active 11 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,587 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,407/yr (+$201/mo · 204.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,715
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,313
- − Property taxes
- −$1,179
- − Insurance
- −$1,456
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,057
- − Management
- −$2,057
- − HOA
- −$2,304
- − Depreciation
- −$8,472
- Taxable loss
- −$8,123
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,950
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This modern single-story home is in good condition with a fresh and inviting interior. It is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address. The home's curb appeal can be enhanced with a fresh coat of paint on the exterior walls.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and make the home look more inviting. ↑
- Rental Replace the curtains — Fresh curtains can make the living spaces feel more updated and cozy for potential renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crosby ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,079
- Composite
- 35.14/100
- National rank
- #5012
- State rank
- #369 of 826 in TX
Livability — Crosby
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1121
- US rank
- #19783
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 5,571,493 people
- City population
- 33,780
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,780
- Household income
- $92,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.63%
- Current HPI
- 264.0126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.48%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $231,990 HARMLS
- 2026-06-03 Listed $231,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…