4341 Pine Ridge Dr · Pine Ridge, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$239,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remodeled Ranch Home located minutes from Bushkill Falls and Shawnee. The home showcases vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan. Freshly painted and New flooring throughout. The home consists of a master suite with a walk in closet and private full bathroom. The other 2 bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the home sharing another full bath. A fabulous Floor to ceiling Fireplace dividing the Formal Dining room and Living Room. The backyard offers seclusion and there is an attached garage.
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1987
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee $800 annually
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with one space; Off-street parking available; On-street parking available; Garage includes additional storage area
- Utilities: Public water; Private septic tank; Electric power for heating, cooling, and hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,604 (estimated)
- Construction: Combination of frame and stick-built construction with vinyl siding; Slab foundation (and other); Building not winterized; Year built estimated
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually; Other above-grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate plank
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: One fireplace; Doors swing inward (accessibility)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-418/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,098 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bushkill El Sch (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 366 students, 70% FRL); Lehman Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 603 students, 59% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs North (math 29% / reading 24%, grade F, #371 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 940 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.62%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $274,284
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Mountain Top Cir | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,516 (-6%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $165 | 66 |
| 2149 Valley View Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,728 (+8%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $110 | 64 |
| 1109 Steele Cir | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,409 (-12%) | 13mo | $259,000 | $184 | 61 |
| 2127 Bushkill Cir | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (-9%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $192 | 61 |
| 1158 Steele Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+4%) | 23mo | $315,000 | $190 | 61 |
| 167 Pipher Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,582 (-1%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $168 | 59 |
| 459 Pocono Blvd | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (+11%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $196 | 56 |
| 152 Chestnut Ln | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,735 (+8%) | 22mo | $280,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 1111 Cranberry Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (-12%) | 20mo | $265,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 1215 Steele Cir | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-13%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $171 | 41 |
| 135 Depue Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (-10%) | 13mo | $191,000 | $133 | 40 |
| 168 Depue Cir | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,774 (+11%) | 21mo | $199,000 | $112 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $33,337
- Equity at exit
- $114,813
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $114,165
- Equity at exit
- $182,505
Cash invested: $67,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18324
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,303 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$428 /mo · $5,139/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$67
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $-35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $101 | -5% $33 | +0% $-35 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-217 | -5% $-126 | +0% $-35 | +5% $56 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $26 | base $-35 | +0.5pp $-97 | +1.0pp $-160 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,998
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $67 · $804/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $239,990 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $247,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $247,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $247,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $247,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $249,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $249,990
-
2023-07-28soldstatus $245,000 Closed 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Remodeled Ranch Home located minutes from Bushkill Falls and Shawnee. The home showcases vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan. Freshly painted and New flooring throughout. The home consists of a master suite with a walk in closet and private full bathroom. The other 2 bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the home sharing another full bath. A fabulous Floor to ceiling Fireplace dividing the Formal Dining room and Living Room. The backyard offers seclusion and there is an attached garage.
-
2023-07-27soldstatus $245,000
-
2023-06-06price $245,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Remodeled Ranch Home located minutes from Bushkill Falls and Shawnee. The home showcases vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan. Freshly painted and New flooring throughout. The home consists of a master suite with a walk in closet and private full bathroom. The other 2 bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the home sharing another full bath. A fabulous Floor to ceiling Fireplace dividing the Formal Dining room and Living Room. The backyard offers seclusion and there is an attached garage.
-
2023-05-18$250,000 Active 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Remodeled Ranch Home located minutes from Bushkill Falls and Shawnee. The home showcases vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan. Freshly painted and New flooring throughout. The home consists of a master suite with a walk in closet and private full bathroom. The other 2 bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the home sharing another full bath. A fabulous Floor to ceiling Fireplace dividing the Formal Dining room and Living Room. The backyard offers seclusion and there is an attached garage.
-
2020-12-07soldstatus $160,000
-
2020-11-20soldstatus $160,000 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Stunning 3 bedroom ranch home located minutes from Bushkill Falls in a private gated community with 2 full bathrooms, fireplace, secluded backyard and 1 car garage. Showcasing vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan, this home has been lovingly cared for and is in amazing condition. The home consists of a master suite with walk-in closet and private full bathroom divided by a central fireplace, living room and dining room. The 2 other bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the house sharing another full bathroom. First floor laundry with an amazing view off the back deck of the private backyard. This home will not last long!
-
2020-11-20soldstatus $175,000
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Stunning 3 bedroom ranch home located minutes from Bushkill Falls in a private gated community with 2 full bathrooms, fireplace, secluded backyard and 1 car garage. Showcasing vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan, this home has been lovingly cared for and is in amazing condition. The home consists of a master suite with walk-in closet and private full bathroom divided by a central fireplace, living room and dining room. The 2 other bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the house sharing another full bathroom. First floor laundry with an amazing view off the back deck of the private backyard. This home will not last long!
-
2020-09-22$170,000 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Stunning 3 bedroom ranch home located minutes from Bushkill Falls in a private gated community with 2 full bathrooms, fireplace, secluded backyard and 1 car garage. Showcasing vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan, this home has been lovingly cared for and is in amazing condition. The home consists of a master suite with walk-in closet and private full bathroom divided by a central fireplace, living room and dining room. The 2 other bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the house sharing another full bathroom. First floor laundry with an amazing view off the back deck of the private backyard. This home will not last long!
-
2020-09-22$170,000
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Stunning 3 bedroom ranch home located minutes from Bushkill Falls in a private gated community with 2 full bathrooms, fireplace, secluded backyard and 1 car garage. Showcasing vaulted ceilings, bright picture windows and an open floor plan, this home has been lovingly cared for and is in amazing condition. The home consists of a master suite with walk-in closet and private full bathroom divided by a central fireplace, living room and dining room. The 2 other bedrooms are set on the opposite side of the house sharing another full bathroom. First floor laundry with an amazing view off the back deck of the private backyard. This home will not last long!
-
2004-09-28soldstatus $15,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,139 · $428/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,139 · $428/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,443
- − Property taxes
- −$5,139
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,210
- − Management
- −$2,210
- − HOA
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$4,358
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,046
- After-tax cash flow
- $628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pine Ridge
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #1098
- US rank
- #12434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Ridge, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,591
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 21% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.51%
- Current HPI
- 243.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+1472.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $249,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-07-28 Sold (MLS) $245,000 PMAR
- 2023-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-06 Price Changed $245,000 PMAR
- 2023-05-18 Listed $250,000 PMAR
- 2020-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $175,000 PMAR
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $160,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-09-22 Listed $170,000 PMAR
- 2020-09-22 Listed $170,000 GLVRMLS
- 2004-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $5,139 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…