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3137 Rainbow Lp #6
B Composite 73.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$66,900

3137 Rainbow Lp #6 · Hubbard, OR 97032
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1984 Est $72k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well maintained Belmont double wide Manufactured Home in Hoodview Mobile Estates, 55+ community. This 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home features a covered front porch with deck, skylight in the living room for abundant natural light, ceiling fan, and quality Sears vinyl windows throughout. Exterior features include durable aluminum siding, a carport with attached workshop complete with workbench and electricity, plus an additional storage shed in the backyard. Enjoy comfortable living in a quiet community setting

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Garage
  • Built 1984

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHSKYLIGHT IN LIVING ROOMDURABLE ALUMINUM SIDINGCARPORT WITH ATTACHED WORKSHOPADDITIONAL STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in a 55+ community (Hoodview Mobile Estates)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; 1 garage space
  • Home design: Double wide manufactured home; Built in 1984; White exterior
  • Construction: Manufactured home (Belmont)
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch with deck; Back porch; Aluminum siding; Storage shed in backyard; Carport with attached workshop (workbench and electricity)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Interior features: Skylight in living room; Ceiling fan; Sears vinyl windows throughout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $970 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $67k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#57 in OR, #1,930 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • North Marion SD 15 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #131 of 183 in OR (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Marion Primary School (326 students, 58% FRL); North Marion High School (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #107 of 143 statewide, top 78%, 603 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $67k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $65,896 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
23.69%
Cash-on-cash
62.13%
DSCR
3.76
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,000
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3197 Rainbow Loop #10 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 5mo $55,000 $52 76
3457 Rainbow Loop 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 22mo $75,500 $75 68
3370 Maple St #44 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (+1%) 1mo $106,000 $109 63
3367 Rainbow Loop #18 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 985 (+3%) 22mo $75,000 $76 63
3289 Ash St #61 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+10%) 2mo $61,500 $58 54
3486 Rainbow Loop 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+14%) 21mo $60,000 $55 51
3486 Rainbow Lp #28 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (+14%) 21mo $60,000 $55 49
3933 Lindsey Ave #41 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+12%) 24mo $155,000 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.0%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$50,929
Equity at exit
$9,975
10-year hold
IRR
65.7%
Equity multiple
7.61×
Total profit
$123,881
Equity at exit
$5,784

Cash invested: $18,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97032

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,754 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$351
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$970

Break-even live

Break-even rent $527
Max offer price $66,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,008 -5% $989 +0% $970 +5% $951 +10% $932
Rent -10% $831 -5% $901 +0% $970 +5% $1,039 +10% $1,108
Rate -1.0pp $1,004 -0.5pp $987 base $970 +0.5pp $953 +1.0pp $935

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,725
Closing costs
$2,007
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $66,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $66,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $66,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $66,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $66,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $66,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $66,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $66,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $66,900 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $66,900 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $66,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $66,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $66,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-26
    listed $66,900 Active
  15. 1984-01-23
    soldstatus $25,345

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$448 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$649 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$201/yr (+$17/mo · 44.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,052
− Mortgage interest
−$3,747
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$334
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,684
− Management
−$1,684
− Depreciation
−$1,946
Taxable income
$11,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,690
After-tax cash flow
$8,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Marion SD 15
NCES district ID
4108880
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,867
Composite
33.51/100
National rank
#10515
State rank
#131 of 183 in OR

Livability — Hubbard

Score
80/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#1930

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hubbard, OR
Population (ZIP)
4,810

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
360,940 people
By 2030
375,178 · +3.9%
By 2040
400,914 · +11.1%
By 2050
422,187 · +17.0%
By 2075
460,305 · +27.5%
By 2100
464,025 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 7% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.22%
Current HPI
289.9111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+164.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $66,900 WVMLS
  • 1984-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,345 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $448 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…