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261 Church St
D- Composite 35.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$215,000

261 Church St · Amsterdam, NY 12010
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1949 6,534 sqft lot Est $195k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Thoughtfully updated and impeccably maintained, this charming one floor bungalow sits proudly on a corner lot with easy access to Route 67, Route 5, and the NYS Thruway, offering both convenience and comfort in one beautiful package. From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the care and attention poured into every detail of this thoughtfully remodeled home, featuring a bright and inviting living room, a dedicated dining room perfect for entertaining, and a beautifully updated kitchen complete with all the bells and whistles today's buyers are looking for. The home offers three generously sized bedrooms with ample closet space, along with a practical mudroom, attached one-car garag

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Corner lot
  • 6,534 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTEASY ACCESS TO ROUTE 67EASY ACCESS TO ROUTE 5EASY ACCESS TO NYS THRUWAYDEDICATED DINING ROOMUPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Two parking spaces total; Off-street paved parking and driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Located on a corner lot
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Paved driveway; Exterior lighting; Garage(s) structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Mud room on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-281 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (23.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (31.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 6.3% in Amsterdam — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Amsterdam High School (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A-, #563 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 1,179 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amsterdam City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,564 (31.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.60%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,264
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 Gorski St 0.21mi 3/1.0 900 (+4%) 13mo $162,800 $181 72
45 Lodge St 0.23mi 3/1.0 928 (+7%) 12mo $210,000 $226 67
15 Catherine St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (+10%) 14mo $225,000 $236 61
21 Julia St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 962 (+11%) 14mo $210,000 $218 59
237 Vrooman Ave 0.61mi 2/1.5 (-1) 832 (-4%) 2mo $80,000 $96 57
11 Peter Ln 0.64mi 3/1.0 960 (+11%) 8mo $222,500 $232 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$99,207
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
6.09×
Total profit
$306,211
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12010

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,754/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$-281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,831
Max offer price $165,392
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 Grand St Amsterdam, NY 4.0 1.0 1098 $1,400 $1.28 23d 1 0.72mi
255 Main St Amsterdam, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 14d 1 0.84mi
30 Kline St Amsterdam, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 19d 1 0.89mi
7 Hewitt St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 967 $1,700 $1.76 43d 1 0.96mi
7 Hewitt St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 967 $1,700 $1.76 14d 1 0.96mi
70 Wall St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 1.18mi
62 Glen Ave Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,550 $1.39 23d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $215,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-05-27
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,754 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,194 · $266/mo
Expected delta
+$440/yr (+$37/mo · 16.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,708
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,754
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$7,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,741
After-tax cash flow
$-1,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amsterdam City School District
NCES district ID
3602970
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$41,735
Composite
32.03/100
National rank
#5824
State rank
#546 of 590 in NY

Livability — Amsterdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#247
US rank
#3884

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amsterdam, NY
City population
27,339
Population (ZIP)
27,339

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,683 people
By 2030
47,785 · -1.8%
By 2040
45,492 · -6.6%
By 2050
43,161 · -11.3%
By 2075
38,134 · -21.7%
By 2100
32,337 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 18%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.12%
Current HPI
312.4966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $215,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,754 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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