1063 Trickham Dr · Forney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge Price Reduction! Time to buy is now! Home is move in ready! Beautiful Megatel 2-Story Home 2706 square feet in the Desirable Travis Ranch Community! Welcome to this stunning home in Forney’s sought-after Travis Ranch neighborhood. The open-concept floor plan is perfect for entertaining, offering a seamless flow between the kitchen, dining, and living areas—all enhanced by luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, a walk-in pantry, and breakfast bar seating, ideal for everyday living or hosting guests. The first-floor primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with quartz countertops, a spacious shower, and a walk-in closet. Upstairs, you’ll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath with dual sinks and granite countertops, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Enjoy the large backyard, perfect for outdoor gatherings, play, or future customization. Neighborhood amenities include parks, a community pool, and beautifully maintained common areas.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Walk-in pantry
- 4,617 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $299k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-382 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (22.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lewis El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 763 students, 50% FRL); Brown Middle (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 673 students, 56% FRL); North Forney H S (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 2,502 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 26% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2639 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $81k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.48%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $345,300
- List price
- $298,900
- Delta
- -13.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2321 Mount Olive Ln | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,759 (+2%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $120 | 84 |
| 2070 Placerville St | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 2,513 (-7%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $159 | 73 |
| 1607 Silas Dr | 0.22mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,559 (-5%) | 2mo | $299,700 | $117 | 72 |
| 1049 Castroville Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,985 (+10%) | 1mo | $339,000 | $114 | 69 |
| 1010 Trickham Dr | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 3,010 (+11%) | 3mo | $319,900 | $106 | 68 |
| 2002 Enchanted Rock Dr | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,651 (-2%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $109 | 67 |
| 1205 Templin Ave | 0.31mi | 4/3.5 | 2,964 (+10%) | 3mo | $326,900 | $110 | 63 |
| 2166 Callahan Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 | 2,952 (+9%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $105 | 60 |
| 2026 Enchanted Rock Dr | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,467 (-9%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 4640 Shivers Ln | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,330 (-14%) | 2mo | $374,900 | $161 | 51 |
| 1026 Comfort Dr | 0.68mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,811 (+4%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $107 | 51 |
| 2022 Uvalde Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,307 (-15%) | 0mo | $249,999 | $108 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-76,584
- Equity at exit
- $44,567
- IRR
- -34.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-113,172
- Equity at exit
- $25,843
Cash invested: $83,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 102 active · 41 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.7 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $337,450 ($140/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 74 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -8.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2639
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,567
- Tax from tax record
- −$721 /mo · $8,657/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$34
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $-382
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-213 | -5% $-297 | +0% $-382 | +5% $-467 | +10% $-551 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-589 | -5% $-485 | +0% $-382 | +5% $-279 | +10% $-175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-232 | -0.5pp $-306 | base $-382 | +0.5pp $-459 | +1.0pp $-538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,725
- Closing costs
- $8,967
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1078 Norias Dr Heath, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2314 | $2,500 | $1.08 | 53d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1078 Norias Dr Heath, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2314 | $2,500 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1023 Spofford Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1941 | $2,369 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1012 Rio Frio Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $2,780 | $1.03 | 27d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1004 Trickham Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $2,250 | $1.23 | 48d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2258 Templin Ave Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1988 | $2,300 | $1.16 | 68d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1431 Lumberton Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2158 | $2,450 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2003 Diamondback Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2796 | $2,395 | $0.86 | 62d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2384 Neff Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2414 | $2,800 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2010 Diamondback Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,099 | $1.20 | 73d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1329 Rosenberg Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3127 Maverick Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2129 | $2,750 | $1.29 | 71d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4122 Ellinger Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2224 | $2,625 | $1.18 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2206 Hartley Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,375 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1013 Camp Verde Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3156 | $2,495 | $0.79 | 1d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2907 Doggett Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2139 | $2,950 | $1.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3949 Sidney Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,550 | $1.31 | 32d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3935 Sidney Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2003 | $2,675 | $1.34 | 93d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2004 Crosby Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1901 | $2,250 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1012 Concan Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2435 | $2,295 | $0.94 | 10d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1105 Concan Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2859 | $2,299 | $0.80 | 93d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1622 Governors Blvd Heath, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,000 | $1.67 | 93d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1606 Governors Blvd Heath, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $3,000 | $1.68 | 73d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2115 Callahan Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $2,400 | $0.89 | 93d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4031 Yellow Jasmine Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2993 | $3,500 | $1.17 | 93d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2302 Tombstone Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $2,200 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2302 Tombstone Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $2,100 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2415 Anton Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 66d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5672 McClelland St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $1,879 | $0.96 | 30d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5681 McClelland St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1950 | $2,070 | $1.06 | 70d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1328 Broaddus Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2544 | $3,175 | $1.25 | 37d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1549 Sonnet Dr Heath, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3399 | $3,900 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 111 Reba Rd Heath, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2580 | $2,800 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2401 Lalun Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1854 | $2,049 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2402 Buchanan Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,399 | $1.29 | 73d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2402 Buchanan Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,299 | $1.24 | 51d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2527 Real Quiet Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail $34/mo · $408/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08pricedays on market $298,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $299,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $299,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $299,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-08-03statusdays on market $299,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 168 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 167 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 166 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 165 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 163 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 161 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 160 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 159 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 158 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 157 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 155 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 154 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 153 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 152 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 151 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 150 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 149 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 148 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 147 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 146 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 144 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 143 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 142 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 141 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 140 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 139 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 138 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 137 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 136 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 135 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 134 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 133 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 131 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 129 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,900 Active Contingent 111 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,657 · $721/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,657 · $721/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,373
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,743
- − Property taxes
- −$8,657
- − Insurance
- −$1,494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,510
- − Management
- −$2,510
- − HOA
- −$408
- − Depreciation
- −$8,695
- Taxable loss
- −$9,644
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,315
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready home in Travis Ranch offers a good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, exterior, flooring, and interior walls/paint. The home is in good condition and ready for a new owner or tenant.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Resale Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the bedrooms — Can improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Can improve both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 138,716 people
- City population
- 84,799
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+11230.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $339,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $344,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $349,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $350,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-30 Listed $379,900 NTREIS
- 2025-05-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-05-16 Price Changed $365,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-07 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $375,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $389,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-15 Listed $399,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-14 Listed $399,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-04-19 Rental Removed $2,590 NTREIS
- 2024-04-04 Listed for Rent $2,590 NTREIS
- 2023-10-05 Rental Removed $3,000 NTREIS
- 2023-09-22 Listed for Rent $3,000 NTREIS
- 2020-01-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-01-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+56.8%/yrLatest (2025): $8,657 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…