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200 33rd St
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

200 33rd St · Snyder, TX 79549
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,694 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1958 9,100 sqft lot $44/sqft · 80% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a three bedroom, one and a half bath home on a corner lot with a large backyard? Here it is! This home is located in an established area in east Snyder not too far from the coliseum. It has 1203 square feet of living space and another 491 square feet that has been closed in but not converted to living space yet. Entering the front door, you step into a large living room with kitchen area all open together. Living area has hardwood flooring with vinyl flooring in the kitchen. Kitchen area has a sit-down bar and ample cabinetry. Three bedrooms are located on the east side of the house. Each have hardwood flooring. The primary bedroom has a half bath. The full bath is located at t

Key facts

  • 9,100 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 33 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,008 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
  • Snyder ISD (town): math 33% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #577 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 32 units permitted in Scurry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scurry County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.25%
Cash-on-cash
24.85%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,504
List price
$75,000
Delta
154.20%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 35th St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,648 (-3%) 8mo $165,000 $100 77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$15,578
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$49,357
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79549

Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,230 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,346/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $679
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
307 34th St Snyder, TX 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,200 $1.08 43d 1 0.14mi
2807 Avenue E Snyder, TX 2.0 2.0 1420 $1,300 $0.92 44d 1 0.48mi
1021 37th St Snyder, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,248 $0.96 43d 1 0.81mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-04-30
    listed $75,000 Active 777-char remark
  6. 2015-04-28
    soldstatus
  7. 1985-07-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,346 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$27/yr (+$2/mo · 2.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,759
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,346
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,181
− Management
−$1,181
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,031
After-tax cash flow
$4,189/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Snyder ISD
NCES district ID
4840650
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$48,075
Composite
27.69/100
National rank
#6912
State rank
#577 of 826 in TX

Livability — Snyder

Score
61/100
State rank
#1008
US rank
#17920

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Snyder, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,505

Population outlook (Scurry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,819 people
By 2030
19,548 · +3.9%
By 2040
21,178 · +12.5%
By 2050
22,980 · +22.1%
By 2075
27,055 · +43.8%
By 2100
28,065 · +49.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 14% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Scurry

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.6) · D 12.8% · R 86.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: -59.7pp · 2024: -73.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.6 2020: R+71.0 2016: R+69.8 2012: R+65.4 2008: R+59.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.76%
Current HPI
137.2297
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,346 · +16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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